Final
Transcript
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Conference
Call Transcript
PEP - Q4 2009
PepsiCo Earnings Conference Call
Event
Date/Time: Feb. 11. 2010 / 10:00AM ET
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CORPORATE
PARTICIPANTS
Lynn
Tyson
PepsiCo
- SVP IR
Indra
Nooyi
PepsiCo
- Chairman, CEO
Richard
Goodman
PepsiCo
- CFO
John
Compton
PepsiCo
- CEO - PepsiCo Americas Foods
Saad
Abdul-Latif
PepsiCo
- CEO of PepsiCo Asia, Middle East, and Africa
CONFERENCE
CALL PARTICIPANTS
John
Faucher
JPMorgan
- Analyst
Marc
Greenberg
Deutsche
Bank - Analyst
Bill
Pecoriello
Consumer
Edge Research - Analyst
Carlos
Laboy
Credit
Suisse - Analyst
Kaumil
Gajrawala
UBS
- Analyst
Christine
Farkas
BofA
Merrill Lynch - Analyst
Lauren
Torres
HSBC
- Analyst
PRESENTATION
Good
morning, and welcome to PepsiCo's fourth quarter 2009 earnings conference call.
Your lines have been placed on listen only until the question-and-answer
session. (Operator Instructions). Today's call is being recorded and will be
archived at www.PepsiCo.com.
It is now
my pleasure to introduce Ms. Lynn A Tyson, Senior Vice President of Investor
Relations. Ms. Tyson, you may begin.
Lynn
Tyson - PepsiCo - SVP
IR
With
me today are Chairman and CEO, Indra Nooyi and CFO Richard Goodman. Indra will
lead off with a brief recap of 2009 and our key priorities for 2010, and then
Richard will review our operating and financial results and share more detailed
view of 2010. We'll then move to Q&A, where we'll be joined by John Compton,
CEO of PepsiCo Americas Foods, Massimo d'Amore, CEO of PepsiCo Americas
Beverages, Zein Abdalla, CEO of PepsiCo Europe, and Saad Abdul-Latif, CEO of
PepsiCo Asia, Middle East, and Africa. After Q&A, we will end with some
closing comments from Indra. I encourage you to review our earnings web deck
which augments our comments today, and is posted on our website at
PepsiCo.com/investors. Our IR activities include Zein Abdalla's presentation at
Cagney one week from today and our analyst meeting March 22nd and 23rd which
will be held in New York City at Yankee Stadium.
During
today's call unless otherwise noted all references to EPS growth, net revenue
growth and division and total operating profit growth are on a core constant
currency basis. Please read our Q4 earnings release for more details. Before we
begin, please take note of our cautionary statement. This conference call
includes forward-looking statements based on currently available information,
operating plans and projections about future events and trends. Our actual
results could differ materially from those predicted in such forward-looking
statements, but we undertake no obligation to update any such statements whether
as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Please see our
filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission including our annual report
on Form 10-K and subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and 8-K. And finally, you
should refer to the investor section of PepsiCo's website under financial news
and events, to find disclosures and reconciliations of our non-GAAP financial
measures that may be used by management when discussing PepsiCo's financial
results. With that, I will turn the call over to Indra.
Indra
Nooyi - PepsiCo - Chairman,
CEO
Thanks,
Lynn, and good morning everyone. This morning, I want to briefly recap our
financial and operating performance in 2009, and how we have positioned
ourselves for strong 2010. Then I'll give you an update on the bottling
transactions, which we now hope to close by the end of February, and then give
you a glimpse of some of the topics we will cover at our analyst meeting next
month.
Starting
with a look at 2009. I must say that I'm very pleased with our team's
performance. We delivered balanced top and bottom line growth in our operating
divisions and our EPS growth was right in line with our guidance. We grew net
revenue by 5%, we grew division operating profit by 6%, and we increased our
gross margins and operating margins in spite of significant commodity inflation.
In fact, operating margins increased in all of our segments. We increased our
management operating cash flow excluding certain items by 16%. And we did this
while consciously investing in areas that are critical to sustaining our growth.
Capacity infrastructure, innovation and people in key emerging markets,
expenditures for R&D, expanding our global SAP footprint, increased
marketplace spending despite significant media deflation, and meeting our
sustainability commitments.
Our teams
were able to deliver these impressive results by frankly doing what PepsiCo has
always been known for, great products, great operations and consistent execution
in the marketplace. They provide a differentiated and innovative value, they
leveraged the benefits of our strong and flexible go-to-market systems and they
maintained financial discipline while investing for future growth. And they did
all of this in the context of the year in which there were huge macroeconomic
challenges across much of the globe.
Consumers
in North America, Western Europe and Eastern Europe were particularly hit by
rapidly increasing unemployment rates. We did a terrific job of adapting to the
macros in these markets, which enabled us to sustain consumer momentum and
maintain market share. Importantly, we continue to have high growth in the many
markets in Asia, the the Middle East and parts of Latin America, where the
macros were more favorable. Net-net, I'm very proud of how our teams navigated
the year.
PepsiCo
Americas Foods recorded another exceptional year with net revenue up 7% and
operating profit up 8%. Frito-Lay's performance was particularly noteworthy, it
increased volume, gained share and delivered another 7 percentage point increase
in operating profit, despite having to take up prices as a result of higher
commodity costs. Our business in Latin America delivered similarly impressive
results with double-digit gains in net revenue and operating profit on top of
similar gains the previous year and we gained or held share in virtually every
market across the region.
In a very
difficult macroeconomic environment, our European business outperformed peer
companies and delivered double-digit gains in net revenue and operating profit
growth, and high single digit operating profit growth excluding acquisitions. It
did this through outstanding productivity improvements, tight cost controls and
sustaining consumer engagement by creating relevant price points which allowed
us to maintain or grow share in most of the markets in which we
operate.
In Asia,
Middle East and Africa, we had a tremendous year, with strong volume growth
particularly in India, and double-digit net revenue and operating profit growth,
excluding the impact of acquisitions and divestitures. And we made additional
investments in our business, particularly in Q4, in order to better take
advantage of the huge growth opportunities in key emerging markets. In PepsiCo
Americas Beverages, I am very pleased to report that we have continued to gain
traction against restaging of our business. And the combination of progress we
have made against key initiatives, significant productivity gains, and a
disciplined approach to pursuing only profitable volume enabled PAB to post a
10% increase in operating profit in the fourth quarter.
These
results demonstrate that the underlying trends in our businesses are healthy. As
I noted earlier, we also made investments to build capabilities and
infrastructure that will further strengthen our competitive advantage in 2010
and beyond. Which brings me to perhaps the most
significant
action we took in 2009 to enhance our position in the marketplace, the pending
acquisition of our anchor bottlers. We believe this move will truly change the
rules of the game for the NAB category in North America. The merger consolidates
more than 80% of the North American beverage make sell deliver system into one
business unit. We will use our new integrated structure to increase speed to
market, flexibility and execution and efficiency across the entire value chain.
This combination will enable us to bring a wide variety of new products to
market faster including emerging brands which are still in the early stages of
development and we will service our retail customers even more efficiently and
effectively, taking PepsiCo's Power of One to the next level, a major
competitive advantage.
We hope
to close the transactions by the end of February. Integration plans are ready to
go, leadership is in place, and our teams are excited. The financing is in
place, and the shareholders vote on February 17th. We look forward to giving you
an in depth view of our plans for the new PepsiCo Americas Beverages at our
investor meeting in March.
Now let
me turn to 2010 and beyond. In terms of GDP growth around the world, it looks
like 2010 is going to be a bit better than 2009, with economists projecting
growth in most developed markets and with continued strong growth in key markets
in Asia and the Middle East. At the same time, most estimates are showing very
little relief in the high unemployment rates that many developed countries are
experiencing. Certainly, the unemployment numbers as we enter 2010 are still
very high, and we're therefore likely to still see a cautious consumer in many
developed markets. One of the barometers for sustainable consumer growth is
C-store traffic, and unfortunately, the recent data indicates that C-store trips
continue to be down 8 to 10%. As one economist said, we may be seeing a
statistical recovery, but a human recession.
So, given
this economic uncertainty, we decided to take a very pragmatic and prudent
approach to our planning for 2010, maintaining the right value equation for
consumers in these markets, while simultaneously placing increased emphasis on
product differentiation and relevant innovation. Where the macros are favorable,
we will continue to expand our businesses ahead of category growth. So, given
this economic outlook for 2010, our planning assumption is that our base PepsiCo
constant currency core EPS will grow about 8 to 9%. Assuming the bottling
transactions close at the end of February, the constant currency core EPS growth
for this new, nearly $60 billion Company, is expected to be 11 to
13%.
As we
indicated last year, we will be taking advantage of the financial benefits of
this merger, not only to step change our North American beverage business and
augment our positions in eastern Europe, but also to make strategic investments
that will sustain our momentum well into the future. Richard will walk you
through the financial details, but you should expect that we will be reinvesting
about $0.08 a share. We will talk at length about these investments in our March
investor conference. But the key investment categories are, accelerated
infrastructure investments in key emerging countries, expansion of of our good
for you platforms and the development of breakthrough products, stepping up our
investment in renovating our core products, launching of new innovations in our
North American beverage business and innovative sustainability investments. You
should be assured that all of our investments are subject to a thorough stage
gate review process to ensure that each investment will yield an appropriate
sustainable return.
And all
of this activity in 2010 is within the context of six key strategies that will
define the trajectory of our Company for the next three to five years. The first
is expanding our global leadership in macro snacks. We are the global leader in
macro snacks with the number one savory category market share position in
virtually every key market in the world. We have an advantaged position across
the entire value chain. And we plan to leverage every one of our structural
advantages to capitalize on the huge growth opportunities that are still
available to us around the world.
First, we
will continue to grow our current businesses in both developed markets, and to a
far greater extent in developing markets where per capita is still low, and
where we have significant room for innovative new platforms. Second, we will
extend our reach into new markets, both organically as we've done over the past
couple years in Pakistan and Vietnam, or through targeted acquisitions, as we
did recently in the Balkans, and then we will continue to expand into adjacent
categories. Third and more importantly, we will continue to make our core snacks
healthier through innovations in heart healthy oils, sodium reduction, and the
addition of whole grains, nuts and seeds. So that's our strategy to expand our
global leadership in macro snacks.
The
second key strategy is to ensure sustainable, profitable growth in global
beverages. In North America, the game changing bottler transaction, plus the
actions we're taking to refresh our brands across the entire beverage category
will enable us to accelerate top line growth and also improve our profitability.
Internationally, there continues to be significant areas of growth, particularly
in developing markets and in emerging categories. We have carefully earmarked
investments to take full advantage of those opportunities, looking to ensure
that we're funding long-term growth that is both profitable and
sustainable.
The third
strategy is to unleash the power of Power of One. This has been a promise that
we will now raise to an entirely new level. We are in a unique position with
retailers across the globe because we can leverage two extraordinary consumer
categories, snacks and beverages. They are
both
high-velocity categories, both generate retail traffic. Both are very
profitable. But most importantly, both deliver exceptional cash flow for
retailers. So we will increasingly leverage this portfolio through unique
innovative offerings to create value for consumers and deliver greater top line
growth for retailers. Equally importantly, we will also accelerate Power of One
supply chain and back office synergies in many markets to improve profitability
and enhance customer service. And we will also extend the scale of our Company
to partner with other companies around the globe as we've done recently with
Anheuser-Busch in the United States for indirect procurement.
The
fourth leg of our strategy is to rapidly expand our good for you portfolio.
PepsiCo currently has roughly a $10 billion core of good for you products, which
are anchored by Tropicana, Lebedyansky, Pandora and other juice brands,
Aquafina, Quaker for grains, G, Gatorade for athletes, and the new daily joint
venture we've entered into with Almarai. Along with that we have several other
local good for you products and brands.
We're
going to augment the organic growth of these platforms through an increasing
stream of science-based innovations. Some of these new products and platforms
will come from targeted acquisitions and from JVs. The larger number will be
generated from R&D that we've been ramping up over the past couple of years,
and which we'll continue to expand. There are huge opportunities in meeting
consumer needs in nutritious beverages and snacks. Most importantly, with
Tropicana and Quaker, we own two of the top five good for you food and beverage
brands in the world, the other three being brands owned by European companies
and with Gatorade, we own the number two brand for athletes behind Nike. With
this unbelievable brand platform, our stepped up R&D capabilities and a $10
billion core Good For You revenue base, I feel we have a great platform to
expand nutrition business from and I feel very good about our prospects
here.
The fifth
leg of the strategy is to continue to deliver on our environmental
sustainability goals and commitments. Our businesses around the world are
implementing innovative approaches to be significantly more efficient in the use
of land, energy, water and packaging. And we're actively working with the
communities in which we operate to be responsive to their resource
needs.
And the
sixth and the last leg is the development of leadership to sustain our growth.
We have an extraordinary talent base across our global organization, in
manufacturing, sales and distribution, our marketing group, our stock functions,
and with all our general managers. Many of you have been out to our markets and
have seen this firsthand. As we expand our businesses, we are placing heightened
focus on developing the leadership talent, capabilities and experience necessary
to grow our businesses well into the future. And where appropriate, we will
augment and refresh our talent base with selective external hiring.
You will
hear much more about these strategies next month and get the opportunity to
spend more time with the leaders from around the world who will bring all of
this to life. So with that, let me turn the call over to Richard.
Richard Goodman - PepsiCo -
CFO
Thanks,
Indra. In 2009, our portfolio delivered line of business profitability that was
very close to historical trends in constant currency, despite undertaking a
significant refresh of our North American beverage business, and despite
operating in the most challenging macroeconomic environment in decades. We
continue to see strong performance across the worldwide snacks businesses as
well as in our international beverage businesses. And our North American
beverage business improved sequentially throughout the year, culminating in a
return to profit growth in the fourth quarter.
As Indra
mentioned, for the full year 2009, net revenue grew 5%, division operating
profit and EPS each grew 6%, and management operating cash flow, which grew by
16% excluding certain items, was well ahead of our target. It's important to
note that we achieved these results without our typical below the line leverage
including share buybacks and bottler share sales, which cost us about 300 basis
points of EPS growth for the year.
Now let
me turn to each operating division. PepsiCo Americas Foods delivered strong
results in 2009, generating 7% net revenue growth, and 8% operating profit
growth for the year. And despite facing significant commodity inflation, a
pressured consumer, and challenging macros in its markets, PAF held or grew
operating margins in every one of its business. Frito-Lay North America was the
fastest growing CPG company in measured channels during 2009 and it also
extended its dollar share lead in the savory category.
For the
full year, Frito delivered 6% increase in net revenue, and a 7% increase in
operating profit, making it the fourth consecutive year of 7% operating profit
growth. As expected in Q4, Frito's revenue and operating profit growth rates
were adversely impacted by the overlap of the very significant pricing actions
the business took in the fourth quarter of 2008, Which is why net revenue grew
2% and operating profit grew 4%. The business did an excellent job managing
product mix and costs, which allowed them to expand margins in the
quarter.
And FLNA
continued to deliver value and product innovation to pressure consumers in
differentiated ways. For example, in the quarter Frito increased its focus on
the store perimeter, with its $2 value line. And recognizing that cash strapped
consumers are more price sensitive at the end of the month, it increased its
promotional pricing at the end of the month on popular products like Fritos and
Cheetos.
From a
product innovation perspective, in the fourth quarter, Frito completed the
conversion of its Tostitos line to whole grains and it also strengthened its
portfolio of Hispanic products with the successful introduction of Rancheritos,
and Tostitos Salsa Verde. Key product offerings were strong for the year. Lays
posted volume and value share gains, driven by strong in store execution and by
the popular Lays Local campaign. Other products that performed well included
Stacy's Pita Chips which gained value and volume share and dips and multi-pack
products.
Looking
at 2010, Frito will have a lot of exciting innovation and product news. Building
on the strength of its core portfolio, it will launch a line of Lays regional
flavors and it will also introduce Lays Kettle with natural flavors. As a part
of its efforts to continue to lead the industry in healthy and affordable
snacking, Frito will add more whole grains to its Tostitos line and more fiber
to its SunChips line, and will be placing increased emphasis on reduced sodium
products.
Let me
turn to Frito's algorithm for 2010. There is no doubt that Frito will benefit
from input cost deflation this year and this means we expect profit growth in
2010 will be higher than in 2009. To be very clear, though, Frito will use some
of the deflation benefit to reinvest back into the business in infrastructure
and in product and packaging innovation.
For
example, they would expand routes and increase rack penetration, they will also
increase the whole grains and fiber in their products, and on Earth Day will
introduce the first fully compostable chip bag of its kind. These innovative
bags, which use proprietary technologies, are defined to fully decompose in
about 14 weeks.
At Latin
America Foods, the teams delivered strong results in 2009 with net revenue up
10% and operating profit up 13%. Despite challenging macroeconomic conditions in
many parts of the regions, including a 7% GDP contraction in Mexico. In the
quarter, net revenue was also up 10%, although operating profit was up just 3%,
as the business overlapped insurance settlements related to fire damage at a
plant in Brazil. Excluding this settlement, operating profit growth in the
quarter was in line with the full year trend, demonstrating that the LAF
businesses continue to deliver balanced top and bottom line growth.
In Mexico
in the quarter, our teams continued to navigate the challenging macros with
tight cost controls, productivity improvements, and selective pricing to offset
local commodity inflation. Sabritas held its strong value share position and
Gamesa grew value share, posting its highest share level since 2007. In South
America, in the quarter we posted double-digit gains in net revenue and
operating profit. Brazil and Chile were particular bright spots in the quarter
with double-digit increases in volume.
Turning
to PepsiCo American beverages, 2009 net revenue declined 6% in the face of a
challenging category in North America, and also reflecting our conscious
decision to focus on profitable volume; however, PAB's performance improved
steadily through the year, culminating in a 10% increase in operating profit in
the fourth quarter. The division's return to operating profit growth was driven
by strong productivity and improving top line treads in NAB, as well as
continued strong operating performance in Latin America. We continue to refresh
our North America business and results to date indicates we are taking the right
steps to position the business to grow its leadership position in North
America.
Key
accomplishments in 2009 include gross margin expansion at NAB, resulting from
successful cost management initiatives and very successful product innovation
based on stevia, our all natural zero calorie sweetener. Trop 50, which is the
most successful new entrant in the chilled juice category, has reached nearly
$100 million in sales and Sobe Lifewater increased volume more than 50% driven
by the success of the terrific lineup of zero calorie Sobe offerings. We're also
very pleased with the traction we've achieved on Pepsi Refresh and on the
transformation of G, which has seen improved brand equity scores with its core
athletic users, which is exactly where we want to be.
And we're
optimistic about our innovation in marketing calendar for 2010. To highlight
just a few things. For brand Pepsi, we launched the Refresh Everything campaign
which encourages individuals, businesses and nonprofits to do good in their
communities by offering a series of grants from $5,000 up to $250,000. In the
first 72 hours, the website received over 1,000 proposals, evidence of how
relevant this campaign is to consumers. If you haven't visited the website yet,
please do, either to submit an idea or to vote,
www.RefreshEverything.com.
For
Gatorade, we're introducing the G series, a full line of products supported by
the latest science to line of products supported by the latest science to
provide fuel, fluids and nutrients before, during and after activity. And we're
in the process of removing high fructose corn syrup from Gatorade and G2. These
actions align the product more closely with the needs of its target athletic
consumer, and we're excited about how we're positioning G in 2010 for future
growth.
And this
year Tropicana will launch Tropicana Juicy Rewards, a program similar to the
successful [Britrix] program that Walkers has run in the UK. Tropicana will work
with local and national partners to deliver value in the form of over 20,000
discounted activities and services across the United States, including free
admission to theme parks, free annual passes to national and state parks, and
discounts on Adidas products. 2010 will be a truly historic year for our North
American beverage business, and we are off to a good start. We look forward to
sharing more details with you about the system integration at our investor
meeting in March.
Turning
to PepsiCo International, the PI teams again delivered solid results. Our Europe
business faced a challenging environment in 2009, particularly in eastern
Europe. But the teams delivered a 10% increase in net revenue and a 13% increase
in operating profit and high single digit operating profit growth excluding the
impact of acquisitions. For the quarter, net revenue grew 4% and operating
profit was up 7%, as we started to lap the Lebedyansky acquisition which closed
in the fourth quarter of 2008. To ensure marketplace competitiveness, the Europe
team delivered differentiated value and drove broad based productivity and cost
control initiatives. These actions resulted in half a point of gross margin
expansion for the year, despite the top line impact of a weak consumer
environment.
In Europe
snacks, the 1% volume decline for the year entirely reflected the weightouts we
took to offset commodity inflation. A strength in the region has been Walkers in
the UK, whose consistent performance across the year was based on compelling
promotional programs and relevant consumer engagement. Our Russia snacks
business also performed well, growing volume and value share in the quarter, and
also for the year.
In 2010,
Europe snacks will continue to restage its portfolio to respond to consumer
needs for healthier choices and more indulgent snacks, including Lays Sensations
premium chips and Lays Gourmet Chips with healthier oils, natural ingredients
and reduced sodium. In the Europe beverage business, volume grew 3.5% for the
year, and CSD volumes grew double digits in both the UK and Germany. In the
quarter, we gained share across Western Europe, including UK, Spain and Germany,
and we also gained significant share in Turkey.
In
Russia, Lebedyansky gained volume in and value share in juice for the quarter
and for the year, while expanding margins, despite ForEx and commodity
headwinds. In addition, incremental investments in sales infrastructure and
value in the second half of the year helped to drive share gains in Russia in
colas, teas and energy drinks in the fourth quarter. Plans for the PBG-Pepsi
Americas integration process are on track in Europe, and you'll hear more from
Zein Abdalla about our powerful European food and beverage business at the
Cagney conference next week.
Turning
now to EMEA, the business continues to perform very well. For the full year, net
revenue grew 12% and operating profit grew 23%. The teams drove these results
through an impressive innovation agenda, coupled with value initiatives in key
markets. While continuing with significant investments behind distribution and
cold infrastructure in both China and India. Note that Q4 has historically been
the smallest profit quarter for the division, about 10% or less of its total
annual profit, so the decline in profits this Q4 was entirely attributable to
the planned step-up in investments in developing markets.
EMEA
beverage volume grew 8% in the year, building on strong momentum in India. In
both China and India, we gained almost 2 points of value share in juice on the
success of our locally relevant Tropicana beverage in China and the Nimbuzz
lemon drink in India. We saw strong growth in most of our other markets across
EMEA for the year, particularly in our non. Value share across the Middle East.
The slightly lower beverage volume of 5% in Q4 reflects the timing of Chinese
New Year and a price increase in Saudi Arabia, the first we have taken in 30
years. India posted another quarter of strong performance, with beverage volume
growth of 21%.
Turning
to snacks, volume in EMEA grew 9% in 2009, with strong double-digit growth in
many countries, including India, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Taiwan and Pakistan.
Our Quaker Oats brand continues to do particularly well in India and China as
consumers respond to our heart-healthy messaging and price pack innovation.
Snacks volume grew 13% in the quarter, including 4 points of growth from
acquisitions, mainly from our new dairy joint venture with Almarai in Jordan. In
2010, we will accelerate our strategic investments to expand our cold
infrastructure, enhance our go-to-market systems, and support our innovations
with increased advertising and marketing. Also critical to our longer term
success in the region, we gained agreement from the Chinese government to open
ten new plants across China.
Now let
me turn to an update on where we stand with the bottling acquisitions and
guidance for 2010. As you know, the SEC has completed its review of the proxy
materials and we have secured the required cash for the more than $4 billion in
bonds that we issued early in January. The shareholder votes on the transaction
take place on February 17th and we hope to close by the end of February. With
respect to the status of regulatory approvals, we continue to work with the FTC.
Based on that closing date, we are targeting 11 to 13% core constant currency
EPS growth off of our fiscal 2009 core EPS of $3.71. As Indra indicated, this
guidance reflects roughly 8 to 9 points of growth from base PepsiCo, that is
excluding the impact of the bottler acquisition, and certain strategic
investments in our business. We're talking with you today about base PepsiCo
because the bottler acquisitions have not closed. Once they do close we will
talk only about the new PepsiCo, which will include the impact of the
acquisition and strategic investments.
Turning
back to the algorithm, the incremental growth of base PepsiCo reflects
combination of several elements. The financial leverage and accounting upside in
this transaction itself, which amounted to about $0.15 a share, synergies for
ten months of about $125 million to $150 million, or about $0.06 a share,
partially offset by strategic investments of about $0.08 a share. Indra talked
about the nature of these strategic investments and indicated that we would be
discussing them in detail in a March investor meeting.
I would
like to spend a few minutes here, however, on the financial accretion and
synergies. Most of you carefully reviewed our S4 filings and in particular the
pro forma financials, which show that the transaction was about $0.22 accretive
through three quarters of 2009. It is critical to understand, however, that
these are reported numbers and so include the very significant tax benefits that
PBG reported in 2009, which brought its tax rate down to less than 6%. In
addition, the pro formas do not include the incremental interest cost related to
the one time $900 million payment we will be making to Dr. Pepper for
distribution rights to their brands. Adjusting for these two items brings the
leverage and accounting impact of the transaction in line with our $0.15
estimate for 2010.
Moving on
to synergies, as a result of our recent integration planning efforts, we are now
estimating that we'll get $125 million to $150 million in synergies in 2010 and
we expect this number will rise to about $400 million once fully implemented by
2012. That's about $100 million higher than our earlier estimates, and it is
based on recent intensive work that we have been doing jointly across PepsiCo,
PAS and PBG. Some of the incremental synergies are additional cost savings but
the majority represent profits from top line growth, some of which will require
incremental capital expenditures as well.
For
competitive reasons I won't go into more details on these but Eric Foss and
Massimo d'Amore and will be providing a comprehensive look at the plans for
newly integrated beverage business during the investor meeting next month. What
I do want to make clear, however, is that the year over year increases in
synergies from now through 2012 should enable PepsiCo to sustain higher growth
levels over this period. Our EPS guidance for 2010 assumes a voluntary $600
million pension plan contribution, as well as the resumption of share
repurchases with the combination at about $5 billion. The repurchases will,
therefore, be significantly above normal, reflecting catchup from 2009, when we
were precluded from repurchasing shares because of the bottler transaction.
However, please note that the leverage from these higher repurchase levels will
be about the same 1.5 to 2% that we would get from our normal level of share
repurchases. That reflects a relatively high year end 2009 diluted share count,
which is due to last year's lack of share repurchases, combined with option
exercises during the year.
Also note
that the pension contribution has about the same accretive impact as the
repurchases. We expect our full year 2010 core tax rate on standalone basis to
be about the same as in 2009. The weighted average tax rate including the
bottlers will be about 27% to 28%.
Now let
me touch on the potential impact on a reported US dollar results of ForEx and
the devaluation in Venezuela. It's difficult in the current environment to
forecast exchange rates. Just when we thought that there would be some greater
level of predictability, we saw in early February significant appreciation in
the US dollar because of the events in Europe. We expect ForEx outside Venezuela
will be a benefit, whether it will be a 1 or 2 or 3% tailwind is difficult to
estimate. In Venezuela, there are two things going on.
First,
Venezuela will be accounted for under hyper inflationary accounting in 2010 and
the functional currency of our Venezuelan entities will be changed from Bolivar
to the US dollar. In addition, in mid-January, the Venezuelan government
devalued the Bolivar by resetting the official exchange rate from 2.15 Bolivars
per dollar to 4.3 for most transactions. We expect that the majority of our
transactions will be conducted and remeasured at the 4.3 exchange rate. We are
still assessing all the impacts of these changes but we expect that ForEx
related impacts on our core related numbers will be $0.10 to $0.12 a share. In
addition we expect to record a non-core one time charge of about $125 million to
net income in the first quarter of 2010, relating to the revaluation of our net
monetary assets at the new exchange rate.
Before I
open it up to Q&A, I would like to touch on the shape of 2010 from a
financial standpoint. Within our overall 11 to 13% core constant currency
guidance, we expect that the first half of the year will be mid to high single
digit growth, and the second half will be mid-teens growth. The lower growth in
the first half primarily reflects lapping of first half 2009 events, both above
and below the line, rather than any fundamental business issues. As I mentioned
earlier, FLNA will be lapping last year's strong first quarter, primarily
related to the significant pricing it took early last year.
Latin
America foods and beverages will be lapping the strong operating profit growth
it generated in the first half of 2009, and some of of our investments will take
place in Q1, before we get the benefit of the transaction upsides. In addition,
below the line, we will be seeing the impact of several factors. The lapping of
last year's relatively low first half tax rates, which were nearly 200 basis
points lower in the first half than in the second, the incremental interest
costs from the bond deal we did in January, in anticipation of the closing of
the bottler transaction, and no share leverage even excluding the deal for the
first half of the year, because of the relatively high starting share count and
because we will not begin repurchasing shares until the deal is
closed.
Net-net,
we are expecting a very good top line and bottom line performance across our
business in 2010. We will begin to unlock the synergies as well as the strategic
benefits from our proposed bottler acquisitions, and we will be making targeted
investments in key markets and categories to sustain our growth in future
years.
With
that, let me turn over the call to the operator for Q&A. And then Indra will
close with some final remarks. Operator?
QUESTION
AND ANSWER
Operator
Thank
you. (Operator Instructions). Our first question comes from the line of John
Faucher with JPMorgan.
John Faucher -
JPMorgan - Analyst
Yes,
good morning. Two quick questions here. First off, Richard, in your commentary
on the North American beverage business, I think you made a comment that it was
off to a good start already this year so wanted to see if you could provide a
little more color on that. And then staying in North America but looking a
little bit more broadly, it seems like with the raw material environment and
your sort of negative comments on the consumer, that you might have a little bit
of flexibility on pricing. Can you talk a little bit about sort of your overall
view in terms of your ability to generate pricing, and are you thinking about
using that as a lever or are you more going to say, look, we're getting the
bottlers together, combining the businesses, we think we're going to take
pricing wherever it's available in the market? Thanks.
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
So
when we talk about North American beverages off to a good start, one period a
year does not make, John, but the first period leading up to the Super Bowl, we
did pretty good in all of our measured channel data and unmeasured channel data
so we feel good about volume and revenue trends in the first period. One period
a year does not make. In terms of raw material environment and flexibility on
pricing, as I mentioned in my opening comments, the marketplace is tough out
there, so we want to make sure that we approach the marketplace this year very,
very carefully. We're going to take pricing where it's available but we also
want to make sure that we provide enough value to consumers, either through
price pack architecture or through bundled offerings so that we never lose the
consumer through these tough environments. So we are approaching this year a bit
more prudently than ever before. John, did you want to add something on
Frito-Lay, how you're approaching it from a pricing perspective?
John Compton -
PepsiCo - CEO - PepsiCo Americas Foods
John,
I think that as we said in the fourth quarter call, our anticipation now is to
not take pricing. We did some selective actions, but broadly not the pricing
we've done in the past, and we're watching very carefully the $2 line, the three
for $1 value line that we have in large format stores and then our ongoing $0.99
line that we sell in the C-store channel. We're seeing our volume growth return.
I think you'll see Frito-Lay in the low single digit volume growth rate and
that's been our historical volume growth in that business.
John Faucher -
JPMorgan - Analyst
Okay.
Great. Thank you.
Operator
Your
next question comes from the line of Marc Greenberg with Deutsche
Bank.
Marc Greenberg -
Deutsche Bank - Analyst
Thanks.
And good morning.
Richard Goodman -
PepsiCo - CFO
Good
morning, Marc.
Marc Greenberg -
Deutsche Bank - Analyst
In
light of the higher synergies and share repurchase, it seems like the consistent
2010 guidance may have some room for uplift. I'm wondering how we should think
about that. And when you say Power of One to the next level, Indra, what kind of
programming does being consolidated enable versus what you've done in the
past?
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
Marc,
I thought you were going to open by saying I'm glad you're holding the investor
meeting at Yankee Stadium.
Marc Greenberg -
Deutsche Bank - Analyst
I
didn't want to say anything.
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
First
time there's been an investor meeting from Yankee Stadium, home of the world
champs. In terms of higher synergies and share repurchase, Marc, I'd like to say
we have more room and say that we're planning prudently. I just want to see how
the economy evolves. C-store trips being down 8 to 10% is worrisome so we're
taking a pragmatic, prudent careful approach to the year and want to see how the
construction worker, the hourly worker, job situation looks as the year
progresses.
And so
while on the one hand we have higher synergies which is a good, bankable number
and share repurchase is something we can flex through the year, I think what we
have to really watch for is the shape of the business as the year goes on and
what kind of value we have to provide the consumer. So on the one hand, you
could say looking at the numbers there's room for uplift but it's not just based
on our performance. It's also based on the environment. So every quarter we'll
have a conversation with you, we'll see how this thing evolves.
In terms
of Power of One. In the past we talked about Power of One strictly in terms of
bundled offering in the store but I think there's so much more we can do to
align merchandising efforts across beverages and snacks, think about how to
improve the service to customers by aligning our supply chains even more
closely. We could improve the speed, flexibility with which we respond to
consumer requests and the thing that's most exciting is that we can bring a lot
more health and wellness offerings in a bundled way to the consumers. So we have
a whole team that's working on this. We're not just calling it Power of One.
We're talking about the power of Power of One. And at our investor meeting
there's a whole section on that and I think you'll be quite excited with what
you see.
Marc Greenberg -
Deutsche Bank - Analyst
Great.
Thanks. Just your other comment about stepping up investments in China and
India, I wonder if you can give us any kind of dollar magnitude there or more
broadly talk about the level of investment you're making in those markets versus
kind of primary competition, where do you think you stand?
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
We
aren't breaking down that level of detail, Mark, but rest assured that $0.08
that we have is all towards accelerating investments in all the growth markets
and as Richard mentioned the great thing that happened is we've gotten the
permission to build the 10 additional plants in China. That gives us the
opportunity to invest even faster to grow the footprint of our business. You'll
hear in March a lot more detail. Not today.
Operator
Next
question comes from the line of Bill Pecoriello from Consumer Edge
Research.
Bill Pecoriello -
Consumer Edge Research - Analyst
I
was hoping to get a little more granular on Frito-Lay. John, maybe you can help
us understand unit growth versus pound growth because there's a lot of noise in
the numbers as you're adjusting the pounds of the corn so maybe in the fourth
quarter how did unit growth trend versus pound and then on that low single digit
pound growth for 2010, how do you see the units trending and in large format
versus small format as well? Thanks.
John Compton -
PepsiCo - CEO - PepsiCo Americas Foods
Hey,
Bill. They the quarter, our unit growth was around 1%, and it varied between the
big bags versus small bags, to your point about the channel differences, but we
did see unit growth in the quarter. Frito-Lay has historically ran 2 to 3% pound
growth and that's our expectation certainly going into 2010. It will differ by
channel. He with still think although we're going to be lapping sort of the
declines in the CNG channel, the trends currently are still high single digit
trip declines year-over-year.
So we're
watching that very carefully. But we're picking that up in other parts of the
business, the dollar segment, the drugstore channel are all growing faster than
our historical growth rates. I think you'll see low single digit volume growth.
As Richard said, we expect to see the business perform higher than it has in the
past on operating profit growth as we have the benefit of deflation but we're
also investing part of that deflationary benefits to accelerate top-line
growth.
Bill Pecoriello -
Consumer Edge Research - Analyst
And
on the reinvestment that you've talked about, racks and routes, also on the
promotional spend, do you anticipate having to tick up the promotional spend as
you're trying to drive that volume improvement?
John Compton -
PepsiCo - CEO - PepsiCo Americas Foods
I
wouldn't say necessarily promotional spend. More of our investment will be back
into elevating the core portfolio through changing the profile of our products.
The whole grain conversion back into Tostitos, sodium reduction in our flavored
fried potato chips. Certainly we'll invest in our route system and in the
merchandising equipment we bring to retailers. More of the investment will be in
elevating the core portfolio.
Bill Pecoriello -
Consumer Edge Research - Analyst
Thanks.
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
John
and Eric and Massimo are all co-CEOs of bundled offerings. So you'll see more
Power of One offerings and you'll see investments in that area,
too.
Operator
Next
question comes from the line of Carlos Laboy with Credit
Suisse.
Carlos Laboy -
Credit Suisse - Analyst
Good
morning, everyone.
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
Good
morning.
Carlos Laboy -
Credit Suisse - Analyst
I
was hoping you could expand on China, how you view the competitive landscape
going into this year and also your view on any gaps that you might have in your
product portfolio, both snacks and beverages there. If you could also such on
the incremental investments you've done in China.
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
That's
a half an hour answer, Carlos. I'm going to let Saad take a shot at it. If
there's anything additional, I'll add to it.
Saad Abdul-Latif -
PepsiCo - CEO of PepsiCo Asia, Middle East, and Africa
We're
very pleased about our progress in China in foods. We continue to grow and gain
share behind Quaker and Lays. Beverages, our NCBs continue to grow, ahead of our
expectations. As Richard said earlier, we've got approval for 10 more plants,
that's in addition to the four plants that we got earlier. So as we look at our
China business, we're looking at a long-term horizon there. We're investing to
tap on opportunities that Indra has talked about.
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
Let
me add to this. Coffee and soft drinks are a regulated industry in China. Every
time you grow, you have to get permission from the Chinese
government.
When we
went into China, we had fewer plants that were approved for us versus our
principal competitor. So right off the bat our positions were different. Now
with all of these new plants that are being approved as Saad mentioned, four
just approved and 10 additional so there's 14 plants that are going in, we can
now start expanding our footprint in China extremely rapidly. In addition,
non-caffeinated beverages, whether it's the Tropicana Pulpy, whether it's the
Chinese traditional medicine drinks we've launched, they're off to a good start
and I think the time has come now for us to significantly accelerate our
investments in China and grow this business much more rapidly than we have been
in the past because in a way our hands were tied based on the permissions we had
for the various townships that would be willing to put plants in.
So we're
looking at the period between 2010 and 2015 as a period of tremendous investment
in China beverages, and the market's still growing in leaps and bounds, but what
we have to be careful about is not doing anything irrational to get volume in
one quarter or one period. We want to make sure we manage this business for
sustainable growth and profitability over the next five years so that's what
we're doing in beverages.
In
snacks, the market is wide open. The unbelievable thing in China is that it's a
snacking culture, and they snack on many, many interesting items. And they like
the Western brands because we're a mark of quality. So the whole game in China
in snacks is how do we bring our global brand portfolio, our mark of safety and
quality, take the fragmented Chinese snack market, provide it to the Chinese
consumer in a convenient, packaged way under our brands, and already we're off
to a good start with Lays and the Quaker brands and we're going to add a lot
more products under those umbrellas to grow the snacks business.
So to us,
the market is wide open, it plays to our advantage because we know how to do
sustainable agriculture. We've done great things with farmers in China. And we
know how to develop these categories. That is our core strength.
As I
said, 2010 forward is the big growth area for China and we are very excited
about China. I spent a couple of weeks in China this summer. It's opened my eyes
to the kind of opportunities there and this bottler transaction gives us the
breathing room to go off and truly step our investments there so the game is
just beginning.
Carlos Laboy -
Credit Suisse - Analyst
Thank
you.
Operator
Your
next question comes from the line of Kaumil Gajrawala with UBS
Investment.
Kaumil Gajrawala -
UBS - Analyst
Hey
everybody. Just to make sure I understand the base case, the base PepsiCo
guidance, does it include or exclude some of the incremental spending and then
along the lines of the stepup in spending, how long before we'll see an impact
of this on the top line, and does it all change your long-term revenue growth
model?
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
Hard
to give you complete answer there. So let me start off by saying, look, the core
base PepsiCo growth model, the historical, if you go back the last three or four
years, we talked about sort of a 9 to 10% or at least 10% EPS base PepsiCo
growth model. To be honest, that's where we started and that's where we feel
comfortable. But I'm looking at the C-store traffic trends and I think it would
be much more prudent for us, especially given that we have a good US business,
to plan a little bit more conservatively for 2010.
According,
we are saying let's make sure that we don't expect too much from the base, not
given our business, given the economic conditions and the C-store traffic in
particular and based on that we said the base was probably 8 to 9% to be prudent
and that's the base PepsiCo and that does not involve the accelerated investment
in China, it includes a base level of investment in China and India and all of
these markets which are pretty spectacular to start with. Since we now have
permission to invest in 10 more plants, because we're going to open up new
geographies, let's also accelerate our marketplace investment like coolers and
whatever equipment and advertising that we can put into these
markets.
What
we're saying is the base is 8 to 9. And now let's take the room from this
acquisition and look at all of our programs across the world and see what we can
accelerate prudently. Because you've got to have the organizational bandwidth to
put these investments in. Regarding our long-term algorithm, Richard mentioned
that from a bottom line basis, between 2010 and 2012, we can sustain pretty
attractive levels of bottom line growth. Clearly, that bottom line growth
doesn't come without good top line growth, so at this point, again, talking in
constant currency, we see at least for the next three years or so, again, we're
going to be a $60 billion Company so we have to sustain the growth level of that
Company. We feel good about revenue growth and bottom line growth. Revenue
growth consistent with past practices and bottom line growth at the accelerated
level that we just talked about.
Kaumil Gajrawala -
UBS - Analyst
Okay.
Thank you.
Operator
Your
next question comes from the line of Christine Farkas with Banc of
America.
Christine Farkas -
BofA Merrill Lynch - Analyst
Thank
you very much. Good morning Indra and Richard.
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
Good
morning, Christine.
Christine Farkas -
BofA Merrill Lynch - Analyst
A
couple of clarifications if I could. Richard, just to back up again on the
bottler accretion. I want to understand what's really changed here. Previous to
today's call I believe the expected accretion was something like $0.02 to $0.03
and if I'm reading your guidance today correctly, looks like something closer to
$0.13 for 2010. Is that fair?
Richard Goodman - PepsiCo -
CFO
I
mean, there are several elements. I mean, we have the financial and sort of
accounting accretion from the transaction of around $0.15 and then we have the
additional synergies as well and I think that that's actually pretty close to
where we had been guiding people.
Christine Farkas -
BofA Merrill Lynch - Analyst
Okay.
Thanks for that. And if I could follow up on China. Just to understand the
beverage volumes there for Pepsi were down year-over-year, given the timing of
the Chinese New Year, and I'm curious, again, your rival posted strong
double-digit growth, did not call out the Chinese New Year. I'm just wondering
if there's a timing difference or something else fundamental that you want to
point out.
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
I
think there was also some aggressive volume gaining strategies that were
deployed by some people in the back half of 2009. And as Richard mentioned, and
as I mentioned in my opening comments, we made a conscious decision not to hit
the volume accelerator for one period or one quarter. We want to manage this
business sort of steady Eddie over a long period of time.
Christine Farkas -
BofA Merrill Lynch - Analyst
If
I could just follow up with North American beverages. Do you split out or could
you split out the volume trends between North America and Latin America. You
talked about some top line progress but curious how the volumes looked in the
fourth quarter sequential to the third.
Richard Goodman -
PepsiCo - CFO
Christine,
we don't split out those but both on the top and bottom line we saw very
positive trends on both of the businesses, North America beverages was
profitable in the fourth quarter and significantly ahead of where it was earlier
in the year.
Operator
Your
final question comes from the line of Lauren Torres from
HSBC.
Lauren Torres -
HSBC - Analyst
Good
morning. Indra, talked about this in your prepared remarks but I was curious to
hear more about how you're thinking about reinvesting some of your synergies
savings back into the North American beverage business. I think there's a
concern out there that maybe you're focused more on volume growth at the expense
of profit growth so just curious about how you're thinking about reinvestment to
drive profitable growth this year?
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
Lauren,
exactly the opposite. I mentioned it. Richard reiterated and I've been saying it
at least several times during this call. We are focused on profitable growth. We
do not want to chase volume at the expense of profit because that's renting
volume. We're not going to do that and the reason that we have this positive
leverage on the bottom line and top line is because we made a conscious decision
not to rent volume.
The
investments in North American beverages that we talked about specifically, we
believe there's some breakthroughs possible in North American beverages. If
those breakthroughs do come to fruition, we will invest behind it. For
competitive reasons, can't give you much more information than that. But North
American beverages investment is only going to happen if there's a breakthrough.
Otherwise, investments are going to happen in many other parts of the company,
the good for you pieces, accelerated investment in emerging markets. We're going
to target each of these investments so we get long-term growth from these
investments. That's the beauty of strategic investment as opposed to addressing
any short-term operational fix.
Lauren Torres -
HSBC - Analyst
Thank
you.
Operator
Thank
you. I will now turn the call over to Ms. Indra Nooyi for closing
remarks.
Indra Nooyi -
PepsiCo - Chairman, CEO
Thank
you, operator. To close, I just want to say that I'm so proud of all of our
teams and how they performed this year. As I mentioned, we delivered the strong
results by doing what PepsiCo's always been known for, great products, great
operations, consistent execution in the marketplace, and great teamwork. Most
importantly, we took the right steps in 2009 to enhance our competitiveness,
regardless of the macros and 2010 with the bottling deal I think is going to be
a defining year for PepsiCo and we look forward to sharing with you in March our
game plan for the next chapter of PepsiCo's growth. So until Yankee Stadium,
thank you for your time today and we'll see you then.
Operator
Thank
you. This concludes today's conference call. You may now
disconnect.
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Cautionary
Statement
This
communication does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an
offer to buy any securities or a solicitation of any vote or approval. PepsiCo,
Inc. (“PepsiCo”) and The
Pepsi Bottling Group, Inc. (“PBG”) have filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) a registration statement
on Form S-4 containing a proxy statement/prospectus and other documents with
respect to the proposed acquisition of PBG. PepsiCo and PepsiAmericas, Inc.
(“PAS”) have filed with
the SEC a registration statement on Form S-4 containing a proxy
statement/prospectus and other documents with respect to the proposed
acquisition of PAS. INVESTORS
AND SECURITY HOLDERS OF PBG AND PAS ARE URGED TO READ THE APPLICABLE DEFINITIVE
PROXY STATEMENT/PROSPECTUS AND OTHER DOCUMENTS FILED WITH THE SEC CAREFULLY IN
THEIR ENTIRETY BECAUSE THEY CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION.
Investors
and security holders may obtain free copies of the registration statements and
the proxy statements/prospectuses and other documents filed with the SEC by
PepsiCo, PBG or PAS through the website maintained by the SEC at www.sec.gov.
Copies of the documents filed with the SEC by PepsiCo are available free of
charge on PepsiCo’s internet website at www.pepsico.com
or by contacting PepsiCo’s Investor Relations Department at 914-253-3035. Copies
of the documents filed with the SEC by PBG are also available free of charge on
PBG’s internet website at www.pbg.com
or by contacting PBG’s Investor Relations Department at 914-767-7216. Copies of
the documents filed with the SEC by PAS are also available free of charge on
PAS’s internet website at www.pepsiamericas.com
or by contacting PAS’s Investor Relations Department at
612-661-3883.
Statements
in this communication that are “forward-looking statements” are based on
currently available information, operating plans and projections about future
events and trends. They inherently involve risks and uncertainties that could
cause actual results to differ materially from those predicted in such
forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not
limited to: PepsiCo’s ability to consummate the acquisitions of PBG and PAS and
to achieve the synergies and value creation contemplated by the proposed
acquisitions; PepsiCo’s ability to promptly and effectively integrate the
businesses of PBG, PAS and PepsiCo; the timing to consummate the proposed
acquisitions and any necessary actions to obtain required regulatory approvals;
the diversion of management time on transaction-related issues; changes in
demand for PepsiCo’s products, as a result of shifts in consumer preferences or
otherwise; increased costs, disruption of supply or shortages of raw materials
and other supplies; unfavorable economic conditions and increased volatility in
foreign exchange rates; PepsiCo’s ability to build and sustain proper
information technology infrastructure, successfully implement its ongoing
business process transformation initiative or outsource certain functions
effectively; damage to PepsiCo’s reputation; trade consolidation, the loss of
any key customer, or failure to maintain good relationships with PepsiCo’s
bottling partners, including as a result of the proposed acquisitions; PepsiCo’s
ability to hire or retain key employees or a highly skilled and diverse
workforce; changes in the legal and regulatory environment; disruption of
PepsiCo’s supply chain; unstable political conditions, civil unrest or other
developments and risks in the countries where PepsiCo operates; and risks that
benefits from PepsiCo’s Productivity for Growth initiative may not be achieved,
may take longer to achieve than expected or may cost more than currently
anticipated.
For
additional information on these and other factors that could cause PepsiCo’s
actual results to materially differ from those set forth herein, please see
PepsiCo’s filings with the SEC, including its most recent annual report on Form
10-K and subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K. Investors are cautioned not
to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements, which speak only
as of the date they are made. PepsiCo undertakes no obligation to update any
forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future
events or otherwise.