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Texas Billionaire Investing in Colombian Natural Gas Ahead of Projected Shortage

Despite its significant potential, Colombia’s energy sector is heading towards a major natural gas shortage by next year. 

The oil and gas market is the key to Colombia’s national revenue, accounting for roughly 10% of GDP and 20% of exports. However, decreasing onshore production, delayed start-up of new offshore discoveries and President Gustavo Petro’s focus on renewable energy are creating ongoing challenges in the sector.

This shortage is compounded by the challenges caused by El Niño and declining oil and natural gas reserves, as Colombia strives to maintain its position in the global energy market. El Niño has reduced hydropower generation in Colombia, increasing reliance on natural gas for electricity and boosting demand amid a tight supply.

By 2025, Colombia’s natural gas supply will fall short of demand by 17% according to state-owned oil producer Ecopetrol SA. What’s more, Colombia’s proven oil and natural gas reserves can last only around seven more years at the current extraction rate.

While recent gas discoveries offer some hope, Colombia is still grappling with the challenge of declining reserves and struggling production. In response, Colombia’s state-run oil company, Ecopetrol, plans to invest up to $6.7 billion in 2024 to boost exploration and production activities, as well as developing new technologies to improve efficiency and sustainability in the sector.

Rod Lewis, founder of Lewis Energy Group and self-made billionaire, sees major potential in Colombia’s natural gas market and in Latin America, in general. 

In the early 2000s, Lewis established a private subsidiary named Lewis Energy Colombia, which has operated in Colombia for 17+ years, with a significant runway ahead to grow and help meet the growing natural gas demand. 

But to realize its full potential, it needed a dedicated and experienced management team, which is where the newly listed TSXV’s LNG Energy Group Corp. (TSXV:LNGE) (OTCQB:LNGNF) (FRA:E26) comes in.

LNG Energy Group acquired Lewis Energy Colombia, Inc. in August of 2023 and went public on the TSXV the following month on September 12, 2023. Its management and board of directors bring together a combination of financial, legal and operational experience to grow the business rapidly and capitalize on the Latin American energy opportunities identified by Rod Lewis. He remains the largest investor in LNG Energy Group, which speaks volumes about his commitment to Colombia, Latin America and the team selected to drive business value.

LNG Energy Group Targets Ambitious Growth in 2024, Outlines Robust Production and Financial Goals

After a year focused on strategic acquisitions and financial structuring, particularly with the successful acquisition of Lewis Energy Colombia, LNG Energy Group Corp. (TSXV:LNGE) (OTCQB:LNGNF) (FRA:E26) is now turning its focus towards enhancing its portfolio of producing wells. 

LNG Energy recently announced its 2024 production and capital guidance, signaling a promising year ahead with significant operational and financial milestones.

The company expects to achieve a gross production rate of between 40 million cubic feet equivalent per day (MMcfe/d) and 44 MMcfe/d in 2024, which is anticipated to generate an EBITDA of between US$33 million and US$39 million, assuming an average gas price of US$7.50 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf).

LNG Energy Group has identified more than 20 prospects that hold over 1 trillion cubic feet of prospective resources and with an exploration and development budget of $10-$12 million, the company is planning a five to six well work-over campaign and drilling one development well and two to four exploration wells in 2024. 

These efforts are expected to significantly boost production by up to 15% year-over-year to 22 MMcfe/d net.

LNG Energy Group also plans to capitalize on take-or-pay contracts already in place, which have a locked-in weighted average natural gas sales price of $7.50 per thousand cubic feet ($/Mcf) for a volume of 18.1 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d). Operating netback is anticipated to be between $5.40 and $5.50/Mcfe.

These contracts are particularly significant, considering Colombia’s soaring gas prices which are three times higher than the Henry Hub benchmark and AECO prices. LNG Energy Group‘s ability to secure prices averaging US$8.40/Mcf, and expecting US$7.50/Mcf for 2024 represents a substantial premium to US natural gas prices and underscore the competitive edge these contracts offer. 

LNG Energy Group Corp. (TSXV:LNGE) (OTCQB:LNGNF) (FRA:E26) also recently announced its 2023 year-end reserves evaluation results, which revealed a notable 26% increase in the before-tax NPV10 value of its Proved plus Probable reserves to US$306 million, or C$2.67 per share. 

The value of its Proved (1P) reserves reached US$171 million (C$1.49 per share), while its Proved plus Probable plus Possible (3P) reserves increased to US$577 million (C$5.04 per share). 

By the end of 2023, the company’s 1P reserves had a reserve life index of 7.9 years, and its 2P reserves had a reserve life index of 14.3 years. Additionally, over the last three years, LNG Energy has maintained a net reserves replacement ratio of 193% on a 1P basis and 336% on a 2P basis, indicating strong reserve growth and sustainability prospects. The company estimates it can produce at its current rate for nearly 8 years with its proven reserves and over 14 years with its proven and probable reserves. 

“The current market price of the Company’s common shares represents a significant discount to the NPV10 for 1P reserves which is C$1.49 per share,” said Pablo Navarro, LNG Energy’s Chairman and CEO. “The Company has a reserves life index of 7.9 years on a 1P basis and a net reserves replacement ratio of 193% on a 1P basis. These reserves are located on acreage that represent less than 2% of our total acreage and we look forward to launching our 2024 activity set.”

With over 40 years of experience in natural gas and more than 17 years of operations in Colombia, LNG Energy Group understands how to grow in international jurisdictions and is well-positioned to lead the country’s transition. 

Click here to learn more about LNG Energy Group Corp. (TSXV:LNGE) (OTCQB:LNGNF) (FRA:E26).

Featured Image @ FreePik

Disclaimer

1) The author of the Article, or members of the author’s immediate household or family, do not own any securities of the companies set forth in this Article. The author determined which companies would be included in this article based on research and understanding of the sector.

2) The Article was issued on behalf of and sponsored by, LNG Energy Group Corp. Market Jar Media Inc. has or expects to receive from LNG Energy Group Corp.’s Digital Marketing Agency of Record (Native Ads Inc) one thousand five hundred USD for this article. 

3) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not Market Jar Media Inc., its directors or officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Market Jar Media Inc. for this Article. Market Jar Media Inc. was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this Article. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market Jar Media Inc. requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Market Jar Media Inc. relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Market Jar Media Inc. has no means of verifying its accuracy.

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6) This document contains forward-looking information and forward-looking statements, within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation, (collectively, “forward-looking statements”), which reflect management’s expectations regarding LNG Energy Group Corp.’s future growth, future business plans and opportunities, expected activities, and other statements about future events, results or performance. Wherever possible, words such as “predicts”, “projects”, “targets”, “plans”, “expects”, “does not expect”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “anticipate” or “does not anticipate”, “believe”, “intend” and similar expressions or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved, or the negative or grammatical variation thereof or other variations thereof, or comparable terminology have been used to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements relating to: (a) revenue generating potential with respect to LNG Energy Group Corp.’s industry; (b) market opportunity; (c) LNG Energy Group Corp.’s business plans and strategies; (d) services that LNG Energy Group Corp. intends to offer; (e) LNG Energy Group Corp.s milestone projections and targets; (f) LNG Energy Group Corp.’s expectations regarding receipt of approval for regulatory applications; (g) LNG Energy Group Corp.’s intentions to expand into other jurisdictions including the timeline expectations relating to those expansion plans; and (h) LNG Energy Group Corp.’s expectations with regarding its ability to deliver shareholder value. Forward-looking statements are not a guarantee of future performance and are based upon a number of estimates and assumptions of management in light of management’s experience and perception of trends, current conditions and expected developments, as well as other factors that management believes to be relevant and reasonable in the circumstances, as of the date of this document including, without limitation, assumptions about: (a) the ability to raise any necessary additional capital on reasonable terms to execute LNG Energy Group Corp.’s business plan; (b) that general business and economic conditions will not change in a material adverse manner; (c) LNG Energy Group Corp.’s ability to procure equipment and operating supplies in sufficient quantities and on a timely basis; (d) LNG Energy Group Corp.’s ability to enter into contractual arrangements with additional parties; (e) the accuracy of budgeted costs and expenditures; (f) LNG Energy Group Corp.’s ability to attract and retain skilled personnel; (g) political and regulatory stability; (h) the receipt of governmental, regulatory and third-party approvals, licenses and permits on favorable terms; (i) changes in applicable legislation; (j) stability in financial and capital markets; and (k) expectations regarding the level of disruption to as a result of CV-19. Such forward-looking information involves a variety of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual plans, intentions, activities, results, performance or achievements of LNG Energy Group Corp. to be materially different from any future plans, intentions, activities, results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks include, without limitation: (a) LNG Energy Group Corp.’s operations could be adversely affected by possible future government legislation, policies and controls or by changes in applicable laws and regulations; (b) public health crises such as CV-19 may adversely impact LNG Energy Group Corp.’s business; (c) the volatility of global capital markets; (d) political instability and changes to the regulations governing LNG Energy Group Corp.’s business operations (e) LNG Energy Group Corp. may be unable to implement its growth strategy; and (f) increased competition.

Except as required by law, LNG Energy Group Corp. undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future event or otherwise, after the date on which the statements are made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Neither does LNG Energy Group Corp. nor any of its representatives make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, sufficiency or completeness of the information in this document. Neither LNG Energy Group Corp. nor any of its representatives shall have any liability whatsoever, under contract, tort, trust or otherwise, to you or any person resulting from the use of the information in this document by you or any of your representatives or for omissions from the information in this document.

7) Any graphs, tables or other information demonstrating the historical performance or current or historical attributes of LNG Energy Group Corp. or any other entity contained in this document are intended only to illustrate historical performance or current or historical attributes of LNG Energy Group Corp. or such entities and are not necessarily indicative of future performance of LNG Energy Group Corp. or such entities.

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