10-Q
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D. C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
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þ |
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QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2008
OR
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o |
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the transition period from to
Commission file number 1-8661
THE CHUBB CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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NEW JERSEY
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13-2595722 |
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(State or other jurisdiction of
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(I. R. S. Employer |
incorporation or organization)
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Identification No.) |
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15 MOUNTAIN VIEW ROAD, WARREN, NEW JERSEY
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07059 |
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(Address of principal executive offices)
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(Zip Code) |
Registrants telephone number, including area code (908) 903-2000
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed
by Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or
for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been
subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
YES þ NO o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated
filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of large
accelerated filer, accelerated filer and smaller reporting company in Rule 12b-2 of the
Exchange Act.(Check one):
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Large accelerated filer þ | |
Accelerated filer o | |
Non-accelerated filer o | |
Smaller reporting company o |
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(Do not check if a smaller reporting company) |
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Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of
the Exchange Act).
YES o NO þ
The number of shares of common stock outstanding as of September 30, 2008 was 355,701,526.
THE CHUBB CORPORATION
INDEX
Page 1
Part I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1 Financial Statements
THE CHUBB CORPORATION
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
PERIODS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30
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Third Quarter |
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Nine Months |
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2008 |
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2007 |
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2008 |
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2007 |
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(in millions) |
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Revenues |
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Premiums Earned |
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$ |
2,964 |
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$ |
2,978 |
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$ |
8,926 |
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$ |
8,927 |
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Investment Income |
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439 |
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446 |
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1,316 |
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1,291 |
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Other Revenues |
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13 |
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8 |
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25 |
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43 |
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Realized Investment Gains
(Losses), Net |
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(113 |
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117 |
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(121 |
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328 |
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Total Revenues |
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3,303 |
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3,549 |
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10,146 |
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10,589 |
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Losses and Expenses |
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Losses and Loss Expenses |
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2,006 |
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1,541 |
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5,339 |
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4,693 |
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Amortization of Deferred Policy
Acquisition Costs |
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781 |
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763 |
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2,336 |
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2,273 |
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Other Insurance Operating Costs
and Expenses |
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104 |
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109 |
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330 |
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331 |
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Investment Expenses |
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8 |
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8 |
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25 |
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27 |
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Other Expenses |
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13 |
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7 |
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30 |
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44 |
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Corporate Expenses |
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73 |
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74 |
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210 |
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186 |
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Total Losses and Expenses |
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2,985 |
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2,502 |
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8,270 |
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7,554 |
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Income Before Federal and Foreign
Income Tax |
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318 |
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1,047 |
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1,876 |
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3,035 |
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Federal and Foreign Income Tax |
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54 |
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309 |
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479 |
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878 |
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Net Income |
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$ |
264 |
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$ |
738 |
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$ |
1,397 |
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$ |
2,157 |
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Net Income Per Share |
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Basic |
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$ |
.74 |
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$ |
1.90 |
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$ |
3.84 |
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$ |
5.42 |
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Diluted |
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.73 |
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1.87 |
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3.78 |
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5.33 |
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Dividends Declared Per Share |
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.33 |
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.29 |
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.99 |
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.87 |
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See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Page 2
THE CHUBB CORPORATION
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
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Sept. 30, |
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Dec. 31, |
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2008 |
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2007 |
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(in millions) |
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Assets |
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Invested Assets |
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Short Term Investments |
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$ |
2,380 |
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$ |
1,839 |
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Fixed Maturities |
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Tax Exempt (cost $18,365 and $18,208) |
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18,135 |
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18,559 |
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Taxable (cost $15,466 and $15,266) |
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15,211 |
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15,312 |
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Equity Securities (cost $1,660 and $1,907) |
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1,702 |
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2,320 |
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Other Invested Assets |
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2,220 |
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2,051 |
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TOTAL INVESTED ASSETS |
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39,648 |
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40,081 |
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Cash |
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46 |
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49 |
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Securities Lending Collateral |
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150 |
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1,247 |
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Accrued Investment Income |
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442 |
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440 |
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Premiums Receivable |
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2,134 |
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2,227 |
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Reinsurance Recoverable on Unpaid Losses
and Loss Expenses |
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2,320 |
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2,307 |
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Prepaid Reinsurance Premiums |
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398 |
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392 |
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Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs |
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1,571 |
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1,556 |
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Deferred Income Tax |
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828 |
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442 |
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Goodwill |
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467 |
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467 |
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Other Assets |
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1,551 |
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1,366 |
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TOTAL ASSETS |
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$ |
49,555 |
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$ |
50,574 |
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Liabilities |
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Unpaid Losses and Loss Expenses |
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$ |
23,282 |
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$ |
22,623 |
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Unearned Premiums |
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6,525 |
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6,599 |
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Securities Lending Payable |
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150 |
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1,247 |
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Long Term Debt |
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3,975 |
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3,460 |
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Dividend Payable to Shareholders |
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118 |
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110 |
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Accrued Expenses and Other Liabilities |
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1,901 |
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2,090 |
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TOTAL LIABILITIES |
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35,951 |
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36,129 |
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Contingent Liabilities (Note 6) |
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Shareholders Equity |
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Common Stock $1 Par Value; 371,980,710 and
374,649,923 Shares |
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372 |
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375 |
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Paid-In Surplus |
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233 |
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346 |
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Retained Earnings |
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14,220 |
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13,280 |
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Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) |
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(409 |
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444 |
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Treasury Stock, at Cost - 16,279,184 Shares in 2008 |
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(812 |
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TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
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13,604 |
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14,445 |
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TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
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$ |
49,555 |
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$ |
50,574 |
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See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Page 3
THE CHUBB CORPORATION
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
PERIODS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30
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Third Quarter |
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Nine Months |
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2008 |
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2007 |
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2008 |
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2007 |
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(in millions) |
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Net Income |
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$ |
264 |
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$ |
738 |
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$ |
1,397 |
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$ |
2,157 |
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Other Comprehensive Income (Loss),
Net of Tax |
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Change in Unrealized Appreciation
or Depreciation of Investments |
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(350 |
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220 |
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(814 |
) |
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(3 |
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Foreign Currency Translation Gains
(Losses) |
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(113 |
) |
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54 |
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(57 |
) |
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88 |
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Amortization of Net Loss and Prior
Service Cost Included in Net
Postretirement Benefit Costs |
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8 |
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6 |
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18 |
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15 |
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(455 |
) |
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280 |
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(853 |
) |
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100 |
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Comprehensive Income (Loss) |
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$ |
(191 |
) |
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$ |
1,018 |
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$ |
544 |
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$ |
2,257 |
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See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Page 4
THE CHUBB CORPORATION
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30
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2008 |
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2007 |
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(in millions) |
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Cash Flows from Operating Activities |
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Net Income |
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$ |
1,397 |
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$ |
2,157 |
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Adjustments to Reconcile Net Income to Net Cash
Provided by Operating Activities |
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Increase in Unpaid Losses and Loss Expenses, Net |
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793 |
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360 |
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Decrease in Unearned Premiums, Net |
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(43 |
) |
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(64 |
) |
Decrease in Premiums Receivable |
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93 |
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140 |
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Change in Income Tax Recoverable or Payable |
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(318 |
) |
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8 |
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Deferred Income Tax |
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81 |
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59 |
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Amortization of Premiums and Discounts on
Fixed Maturities |
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157 |
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175 |
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Depreciation |
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49 |
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52 |
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Realized Investment Losses (Gains), Net |
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121 |
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(328 |
) |
Other, Net |
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(186 |
) |
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6 |
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Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities |
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2,144 |
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2,565 |
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Cash Flows from Investing Activities |
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Proceeds from Fixed Maturities |
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Sales |
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2,893 |
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2,519 |
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Maturities, Calls and Redemptions |
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1,801 |
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1,309 |
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Proceeds from Sales of Equity Securities |
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267 |
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243 |
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Purchases of Fixed Maturities |
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(5,486 |
) |
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(5,752 |
) |
Purchases of Equity Securities |
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(163 |
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(336 |
) |
Investments in Other Invested Assets, Net |
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(102 |
) |
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(68 |
) |
Increase in Short Term Investments, Net |
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(571 |
) |
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(244 |
) |
Increase in Net Payable from Security Transactions
Not Settled |
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183 |
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57 |
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Purchases of Property and Equipment, Net |
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(35 |
) |
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(30 |
) |
Other, Net |
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10 |
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Net Cash Used in Investing Activities |
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(1,213 |
) |
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(2,292 |
) |
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Cash Flows from Financing Activities |
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Proceeds from Issuance of Long Term Debt |
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1,200 |
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1,800 |
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Repayment of Long Term Debt |
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(685 |
) |
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(125 |
) |
Proceeds from Issuance of Common Stock Under
Stock-Based Employee Compensation Plans |
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103 |
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|
106 |
|
Repurchase of Shares |
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(1,170 |
) |
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|
(1,679 |
) |
Dividends Paid to Shareholders |
|
|
(353 |
) |
|
|
(339 |
) |
Other, Net |
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(29 |
) |
|
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(32 |
) |
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Net Cash Used in Financing Activities |
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(934 |
) |
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(269 |
) |
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Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash |
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(3 |
) |
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|
4 |
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Cash at Beginning of Year |
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49 |
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|
38 |
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Cash at End of Period |
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$ |
46 |
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$ |
42 |
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|
See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Page 5
THE CHUBB CORPORATION
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
1) General
The accompanying consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with
U.S. generally accepted accounting principles and include the accounts of The Chubb
Corporation (Chubb) and its subsidiaries (collectively, the Corporation). Significant
intercompany transactions have been eliminated in consolidation.
The amounts included in this report are unaudited but include those adjustments,
consisting of normal recurring items, that management considers necessary for a fair
presentation. These consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with the
consolidated financial statements and related notes included in Chubbs Annual Report on Form
10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007.
2) Adoption of New Accounting Pronouncements
Effective January 1, 2008, the Corporation adopted Statement of Financial Accounting
Standards (SFAS) No. 157, Fair Value Measurements. SFAS No. 157 defines fair value,
establishes a framework for measuring fair value and expands disclosures about fair value
measurements. SFAS No. 157 applies whenever other accounting pronouncements require or
permit assets or liabilities to be measured at fair value. The Statement does not expand the
use of fair value to any new circumstances. The adoption of SFAS No. 157 did not have a
significant effect on the Corporations financial position or results of operations.
3) Investments
Short term investments, which have an original maturity of one year or less, are carried
at amortized cost, which approximates fair value. Fixed maturities and equity securities,
all of which are classified as available-for-sale, are carried at fair value as of the
balance sheet date. Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell the
security in an orderly transaction between market participants.
Fair values of fixed maturities and equity securities are determined using valuation
techniques that maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable
inputs. Fair values are generally measured using quoted prices in active markets for
identical securities or other inputs, such as quoted prices for similar securities, that are
observable, either directly or indirectly. Where observable inputs are not available, fair
value estimates are derived from unobservable inputs. Unobservable inputs reflect the
Corporations assumptions about the assumptions that market participants would use in pricing
the security and are developed based on the best information available in the circumstances.
Fair value estimates derived from unobservable inputs are significantly affected by the
assumptions used, including the discount rates and the estimated amounts and timing of future
cash flows. The derived fair value estimates cannot be substantiated by comparison to
independent markets and are not necessarily indicative of the amounts that would be realized
in a current market exchange.
Page 6
The fair value hierarchy prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure
fair value into three broad levels as follows:
Level 1 Unadjusted quoted prices in active markets for identical
assets.
Level 2 Other inputs that are observable for the asset, either
directly or indirectly.
Level 3 Inputs that are unobservable.
The fair value of fixed maturities and equity securities at September 30, 2008
categorized based upon the lowest level of input that was significant to the fair value
measurement was as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Level 1 |
|
Level 2 |
|
Level 3 |
|
Total |
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed maturities |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
32,958 |
|
|
$ |
388 |
|
|
$ |
33,346 |
|
Equity securities |
|
|
1,669 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
33 |
|
|
|
1,702 |
|
The change in unrealized appreciation or depreciation of fixed maturities and equity
securities was as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Periods Ended September 30 |
|
|
|
Third Quarter |
|
|
Nine Months |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in unrealized appreciation or
depreciation of fixed maturities |
|
$ |
(430 |
) |
|
$ |
407 |
|
|
$ |
(882 |
) |
|
$ |
(90 |
) |
Change in unrealized appreciation of
equity securities |
|
|
(109 |
) |
|
|
(67 |
) |
|
|
(371 |
) |
|
|
86 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(539 |
) |
|
|
340 |
|
|
|
(1,253 |
) |
|
|
(4 |
) |
Deferred income tax (credit) |
|
|
(189 |
) |
|
|
120 |
|
|
|
(439 |
) |
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in unrealized appreciation or
depreciation of investments, net |
|
$ |
(350 |
) |
|
$ |
220 |
|
|
$ |
(814 |
) |
|
$ |
(3 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4) Debt
Chubb repaid $460 million of outstanding 5.472% notes that were due August 16, 2008.
Chubb repaid $225 million of outstanding 3.95% notes that were due April 1, 2008.
In May 2008, Chubb issued $600 million of unsecured 5.75% senior notes due May 15, 2018
and $600 million of unsecured 6.5% senior notes due May 15, 2038.
Page 7
5) Segments Information
The principal business of the Corporation is the sale of property and casualty
insurance. The profitability of the property and casualty insurance business depends on the
results of both underwriting and investment operations, which are viewed as two distinct
operations. The underwriting operations are managed and evaluated separately from the
investment function.
The property and casualty insurance subsidiaries (P&C Group) underwrite most lines of
property and casualty insurance. Underwriting operations consist of four separate business
units: personal insurance, commercial insurance, specialty insurance and reinsurance assumed.
The personal segment targets the personal insurance market. The personal classes include
automobile, homeowners and other personal coverages. The commercial segment includes those
classes of business that are generally available in broad markets and are of a more commodity
nature. Commercial classes include multiple peril, casualty, workers compensation and
property and marine. The specialty segment includes those classes of business that are
available in more limited markets since they require specialized underwriting and claim
settlement. Specialty classes include professional liability coverages and surety. The
reinsurance assumed business is effectively in runoff following the sale, in December 2005,
of the ongoing business to a Bermuda based reinsurance company, Harbor Point Limited.
Corporate and other includes investment income earned on corporate invested assets,
corporate expenses and the results of the Corporations non-insurance subsidiaries.
Page 8
Revenues and income before income tax of the operating segments were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Periods Ended September 30 |
|
|
|
Third Quarter |
|
|
Nine Months |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
Revenues |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property and casualty insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premiums earned |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal insurance |
|
$ |
950 |
|
|
$ |
919 |
|
|
$ |
2,837 |
|
|
$ |
2,716 |
|
Commercial insurance |
|
|
1,253 |
|
|
|
1,278 |
|
|
|
3,801 |
|
|
|
3,836 |
|
Specialty insurance |
|
|
731 |
|
|
|
739 |
|
|
|
2,219 |
|
|
|
2,213 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total insurance |
|
|
2,934 |
|
|
|
2,936 |
|
|
|
8,857 |
|
|
|
8,765 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance assumed |
|
|
30 |
|
|
|
42 |
|
|
|
69 |
|
|
|
162 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,964 |
|
|
|
2,978 |
|
|
|
8,926 |
|
|
|
8,927 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment income |
|
|
418 |
|
|
|
413 |
|
|
|
1,254 |
|
|
|
1,201 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other revenues |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total property and casualty
insurance |
|
|
3,382 |
|
|
|
3,394 |
|
|
|
10,184 |
|
|
|
10,137 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Corporate and other |
|
|
34 |
|
|
|
38 |
|
|
|
83 |
|
|
|
124 |
|
Realized investment gains
(losses), net |
|
|
(113 |
) |
|
|
117 |
|
|
|
(121 |
) |
|
|
328 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
$ |
3,303 |
|
|
$ |
3,549 |
|
|
$ |
10,146 |
|
|
$ |
10,589 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before income tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property and casualty insurance
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underwriting |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal insurance |
|
$ |
(21 |
) |
|
$ |
135 |
|
|
$ |
293 |
|
|
$ |
448 |
|
Commercial insurance |
|
|
(51 |
) |
|
|
221 |
|
|
|
161 |
|
|
|
543 |
|
Specialty insurance |
|
|
135 |
|
|
|
178 |
|
|
|
398 |
|
|
|
495 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total insurance |
|
|
63 |
|
|
|
534 |
|
|
|
852 |
|
|
|
1,486 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance assumed |
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
37 |
|
|
|
86 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
76 |
|
|
|
558 |
|
|
|
889 |
|
|
|
1,572 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Increase (decrease) in deferred
policy acquisition costs |
|
|
(7 |
) |
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
29 |
|
|
|
64 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underwriting income |
|
|
69 |
|
|
|
569 |
|
|
|
918 |
|
|
|
1,636 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment income |
|
|
411 |
|
|
|
405 |
|
|
|
1,231 |
|
|
|
1,176 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other income (charges) |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total property and casualty
insurance |
|
|
484 |
|
|
|
973 |
|
|
|
2,156 |
|
|
|
2,815 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Corporate and other loss |
|
|
(53 |
) |
|
|
(43 |
) |
|
|
(159 |
) |
|
|
(108 |
) |
Realized investment gains
(losses), net |
|
|
(113 |
) |
|
|
117 |
|
|
|
(121 |
) |
|
|
328 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total income before income tax |
|
$ |
318 |
|
|
$ |
1,047 |
|
|
$ |
1,876 |
|
|
$ |
3,035 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 9
6) Contingent Liabilities
Chubb and certain of its subsidiaries have been involved in the investigations of
certain business practices in the property and casualty insurance industry by various
Attorneys General and other regulatory authorities of several states, the U.S. Securities and
Exchange Commission, the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and certain
non-U.S. regulatory authorities with respect to, among other things, (1) potential conflicts
of interest and anti-competitive behavior arising from the payment of contingent commissions
to brokers and agents and (2) loss mitigation and finite reinsurance arrangements. In
connection with these investigations, Chubb and certain of its subsidiaries have received
subpoenas and other requests for information from various regulators. The Corporation has
been cooperating fully with these investigations.
In December 2006, the Corporation settled with the Attorneys General of New York,
Connecticut and Illinois all issues arising out of their investigations and, among other
things, agreed to the implementation of certain business reforms. In September 2008, the
Corporation settled with the Indiana Department of Insurance all issues arising out of that
Departments investigation. As part of this settlement, the Corporation agreed to implement
the same business reforms it has implemented as agreed to with the Attorneys General of New
York, Connecticut and Illinois. The Indiana settlement did not require the Corporation to pay
any fine, penalty, costs, expenses or any other amount.
In August 2007, Chubb and certain of its subsidiaries were named as defendants in an
action filed by the Ohio Attorney General against several insurers and one broker in the
Court of Common Pleas in Cuyahoga County, Ohio. This action alleges violations of Ohios
antitrust laws. In July 2008, the court denied the Corporations and the other defendants
motions to dismiss the Attorney Generals complaint. In August 2008, the Corporation and the
other defendants filed answers to the complaint and discovery has begun. Although no other
Attorney General or regulator has initiated an action against the Corporation, it is possible
that such an action may be brought against the Corporation with respect to some or all of the
issues that are the focus of these investigations.
Individual actions and purported class actions arising out of the investigations into
the payment of contingent commissions to brokers and agents have been filed in a number of
federal and state courts. In August 2005, Chubb and certain of its subsidiaries were named
in a putative class action entitled In re Insurance Brokerage Antitrust Litigation in the
U.S. District Court for the District of New Jersey. This action, brought against several
brokers and insurers on behalf of a class of persons who purchased insurance through the
broker defendants, asserts claims under the Sherman Act and state law and the Racketeer
Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO) arising from the alleged unlawful use of
contingent commission agreements. Chubb and certain of its subsidiaries have also been named
as defendants in two putative class actions relating to allegations of unlawful use of
contingent commission arrangements that were originally filed in state court. The first was
filed in February 2005 in Seminole County, Florida. The second was filed in May 2005 in
Essex County, Massachusetts. Both cases were removed to federal court and then transferred
by the Judicial Panel on Multidistrict Litigation to the U.S. District Court for the District
of New Jersey for consolidation with the In re Insurance Brokerage Antitrust Litigation.
Since being transferred to
the District of New Jersey, the plaintiff in the former action has been
Page 10
inactive, and that action currently is stayed. The latter action has been voluntarily
dismissed. In September 2007, the U.S. District Court for the District of New Jersey
dismissed the second amended complaint filed by the plaintiffs in the In re Insurance
Brokerage Antitrust Litigation in its entirety. In so doing, the court dismissed the
plaintiffs Sherman Act and RICO claims with prejudice for failure to state a claim, and
it dismissed the plaintiffs state law claims without prejudice because it declined to
exercise supplemental jurisdiction over them. The plaintiffs have appealed the dismissal
of their second amended complaint to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit, and
that appeal is currently pending.
In December 2005, Chubb and certain of its subsidiaries were named in a putative class
action similar to the In re Insurance Brokerage Antitrust Litigation. The action is pending
in the U.S. District Court for the District of New Jersey and has been assigned to the judge
who is presiding over the In re Insurance Brokerage Antitrust Litigation. The complaint has
never been served in this matter. Separately, in April 2006, Chubb and one of its
subsidiaries were named in an action similar to the In re Insurance Brokerage Antitrust
Litigation. This action was filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of
Georgia and subsequently was transferred by the Judicial Panel on Multidistrict Litigation to
the U.S. District Court for the District of New Jersey for consolidation with the In re
Insurance Brokerage Antitrust Litigation. This action currently is stayed. In May 2007, Chubb
and one of its subsidiaries were named as defendants in another action similar to the In re
Insurance Brokerage Antitrust Litigation. This action was filed in the U.S. District Court
for the District of New Jersey and consolidated with the In re Insurance Brokerage Antitrust
Litigation. This action currently is stayed.
In October 2007, certain of Chubbs subsidiaries were named as defendants in an action
similar to the In re Insurance Brokerage Antitrust Litigation. This action was filed in the
U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Georgia. This action has been identified to
the Judicial Panel on Multidistrict Litigation as a potential tag-along action to the In re
Insurance Brokerage Antitrust Litigation. The Corporation currently anticipates that this
action will be transferred by the Judicial Panel on Multidistrict Litigation to the U.S.
District Court for the District of New Jersey and consolidated with the In re Insurance
Brokerage Antitrust Litigation.
In these actions, the plaintiffs generally allege that the defendants unlawfully used
contingent commission agreements and conspired to reduce competition in the insurance markets.
The actions seek treble damages, injunctive and declaratory relief, and attorneys fees. The
Corporation believes it has substantial defenses to all of the aforementioned legal
proceedings and intends to defend the actions vigorously.
The Corporation cannot predict at this time the ultimate outcome of the aforementioned
ongoing investigations and legal proceedings, including any potential amounts that the
Corporation may be required to pay in connection with them. Nevertheless, management believes
that it is likely that the outcome will not have a material adverse effect on the
Corporations results of operations or financial condition.
Page 11
7) Earnings Per Share
The following table sets forth the computation of basic and diluted earnings per share:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Periods Ended September 30 |
|
|
|
|
|
Third Quarter |
|
|
Nine Months |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
(in millions, |
|
|
|
except for per share amounts) |
|
|
Basic earnings per share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
264 |
|
|
$ |
738 |
|
|
$ |
1,397 |
|
|
$ |
2,157 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average number of common
shares outstanding |
|
|
356.8 |
|
|
|
387.5 |
|
|
|
363.6 |
|
|
|
397.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic earnings per share |
|
$ |
.74 |
|
|
$ |
1.90 |
|
|
$ |
3.84 |
|
|
$ |
5.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted earnings per share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
264 |
|
|
$ |
738 |
|
|
$ |
1,397 |
|
|
$ |
2,157 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average number of common
shares outstanding |
|
|
356.8 |
|
|
|
387.5 |
|
|
|
363.6 |
|
|
|
397.8 |
|
Additional shares from assumed
exercise of stock-based
compensation awards |
|
|
5.5 |
|
|
|
6.1 |
|
|
|
5.6 |
|
|
|
6.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average number of common
shares and potential common
shares assumed outstanding for computing
diluted earnings per share |
|
|
362.3 |
|
|
|
393.6 |
|
|
|
369.2 |
|
|
|
404.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted earnings per share |
|
$ |
.73 |
|
|
$ |
1.87 |
|
|
$ |
3.78 |
|
|
$ |
5.33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 12
Item 2 Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and
Results of Operations
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
addresses the financial condition of the Corporation as of September 30, 2008 compared with
December 31, 2007 and the results of operations for the nine months and three months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007. This discussion should be read in conjunction with the condensed
consolidated financial statements and related notes contained in this report and the consolidated
financial statements and related notes and managements discussion and analysis of financial
condition and results of operations included in the Corporations Annual Report on Form 10-K for
the year ended December 31, 2007.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information
Certain statements in this document are forward-looking statements as
that term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (PSLRA). These
forward-looking statements are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the PSLRA and include
statements regarding our loss reserve and reinsurance recoverable estimates; the impact of changes
to our reinsurance program; premium volume, rates and terms and conditions of the policies we
write; the impact of market disruptions on our opportunities to write new business; competition;
the fourth quarter 2008 performance of our limited partnership investments; the repurchase of
common stock under our share repurchase program; our capital adequacy and funding of liquidity
needs; and the impact of widening credit spreads and equity market declines. Forward-looking statements are made based upon managements current expectations and
beliefs concerning trends and future developments and their potential effects on us. These
statements are not guarantees of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from
those suggested by forward-looking statements as a result of risks and uncertainties, which
include, among others, those discussed or identified from time to time in our public filings with
the Securities and Exchange Commission and those associated with:
|
|
global political conditions and the occurrence of terrorist attacks, including any nuclear,
biological, chemical or radiological events; |
|
|
the effects of the outbreak or escalation of war or hostilities; |
|
|
premium pricing and profitability or growth estimates overall or by lines of business or
geographic area, and related expectations with respect to the timing and terms of any required
regulatory approvals; |
|
|
adverse changes in loss cost trends; |
|
|
the ability to retain existing business and attract new
business; |
|
|
our expectations with respect to cash flow and investment income and with respect to other
income; |
Page 13
|
|
the adequacy of our loss reserves, including: |
|
|
|
our expectations relating to reinsurance recoverables; |
|
|
|
|
the willingness of parties, including us, to settle disputes; |
|
|
|
|
developments in judicial decisions or regulatory or legislative
actions relating to coverage and liability, in particular, for
asbestos, toxic waste and other mass tort claims; |
|
|
|
|
development of new theories of liability; |
|
|
|
|
our estimates relating to ultimate asbestos liabilities; |
|
|
|
|
the impact from the bankruptcy protection sought by various asbestos
producers and other related businesses; and |
|
|
|
|
the effects of proposed asbestos liability legislation, including the
impact of claims patterns arising from the possibility of legislation
and those that may arise if legislation is not passed; |
|
|
the availability and cost of reinsurance coverage; |
|
|
the occurrence of significant weather-related or other natural or human-made disasters,
particularly in locations where we have concentrations of risk; |
|
|
the impact of economic factors on companies on whose behalf we have issued surety bonds,
and in particular, on those companies that file for bankruptcy or otherwise experience
deterioration in creditworthiness; |
|
|
the effects of disclosures by, and investigations of, companies relating to possible
accounting irregularities, practices in the financial services industry, investment losses or
other corporate governance issues, including: |
|
|
|
claims and litigation arising out of stock option backdating,
spring loading and other equity grant practices by public companies; |
|
|
|
|
the effects on the capital markets and the markets for directors and
officers and errors and omissions insurance; |
|
|
|
|
claims and litigation arising out of actual or alleged accounting or
other corporate malfeasance by other companies; |
|
|
|
|
claims and litigation arising out of practices in the financial
services industry; |
|
|
|
|
claims and litigation relating to uncertainty in the credit and
broader financial markets; and |
|
|
|
|
legislative or regulatory proposals or changes; |
|
|
the effects of changes in market practices in the U.S. property and casualty insurance
industry, in particular contingent commissions and loss mitigation and finite reinsurance
arrangements, arising from any legal or regulatory proceedings, related settlements and
industry reform, including changes that have been announced and changes that may occur in the
future; |
|
|
the impact of legislative and regulatory developments on our business, including those
relating to terrorism, catastrophes and the financial markets; |
|
|
any downgrade in our claims-paying, financial strength or other credit ratings; |
|
|
the ability of our subsidiaries to pay us dividends; |
Page 14
|
|
general economic and market conditions including: |
|
|
|
changes in interest rates, market credit spreads and the performance
of the financial markets; |
|
|
|
|
currency fluctuations; |
|
|
|
|
the effects of inflation; |
|
|
|
|
changes in domestic and foreign laws, regulations and taxes; |
|
|
|
|
changes in competition and pricing environments; |
|
|
|
|
regional or general changes in asset valuations; |
|
|
|
|
the inability to reinsure certain risks economically; and |
|
|
|
|
changes in the litigation environment; and |
|
|
our ability to implement managements strategic plans and initiatives. |
Chubb assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking information set forth in this
document, which speak as of the date hereof.
Critical Accounting Estimates and Judgments
The consolidated financial statements include amounts based on informed estimates and
judgments of management for transactions that are not yet complete. Such estimates and judgments
affect the reported amounts in the financial statements. Those estimates and judgments that were
most critical to the preparation of the financial statements involved the determination of loss
reserves and the recoverability of related reinsurance recoverables. These estimates and
judgments, which are discussed in Item 7 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2007 as supplemented within the following analysis of our results of operations,
require the use of assumptions about matters that are highly uncertain and therefore are subject to
change as facts and circumstances develop. If different estimates and judgments had been applied,
materially different amounts might have been reported in the financial statements.
Overview
The following highlights do not address all of the matters covered in the other sections of
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations or contain
all of the information that may be important to Chubbs shareholders or the investing public. This
overview should be read in conjunction with the other sections of Managements Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
|
|
|
Net income was $1.4 billion in the first nine months of 2008 and $264 million in the
third quarter compared with $2.2 billion and $738 million, respectively, in the
comparable periods of 2007. The lower net income in the 2008 periods was due primarily
to two factors. First, underwriting income in our property and casualty insurance
business was substantially lower in the 2008 periods compared with the same periods in
2007, due in large part to higher catastrophe losses. Second, we had realized
investment losses in the 2008 periods compared with realized investment
gains in the 2007 periods. |
Page 15
|
|
|
Underwriting results were highly profitable in the first nine months of 2008 and
2007, but more so in 2007. Underwriting results in the third quarter of 2008 were
modestly profitable compared to highly profitable results in the same period of 2007.
Results in the 2008 periods, particularly in the third quarter, were adversely affected
by high catastrophe losses. Catastrophe losses were $616 million in the first nine
months of 2008 and $402 million in the third quarter compared with $249 million and $58
million, respectively, in the corresponding periods in 2007. The combined loss and
expense ratio was 90.2% in the first nine months of 2008 and 98.1% in the third quarter
compared with 82.6% and 81.6% in the respective 2007 periods. |
|
|
|
|
During the first nine months and third quarter of 2008, we experienced overall
favorable development of about $660 million and $210 million, respectively, on loss
reserves established as of the previous year end, due primarily to favorable loss
experience in certain professional liability and commercial liability classes and lower
than expected emergence of losses in the homeowners and commercial property classes.
During the first nine months and third quarter of 2007, we experienced overall favorable
development of about $480 million and $150 million, respectively, primarily in the
professional liability classes and the homeowners and commercial property classes as
well as in the run-off of the reinsurance assumed business. |
|
|
|
|
In a highly competitive market environment, total net premiums written were flat in
the first nine months of 2008 and decreased by 1% in the third quarter compared with the
same periods in 2007. Net premiums written in the United States decreased by 3% in the
first nine months of 2008 and 4% in the third quarter. Net premiums written outside the
United States increased by 11% in the first nine months of 2008 and 8% in the third
quarter; the growth was largely attributable to the impact of currency fluctuation due
to the weakness of the U.S. dollar. |
|
|
|
|
Property and casualty investment income after tax increased 4% in the first nine
months of 2008 and 1% in the third quarter compared with the same periods in 2007. The
growth was due to an increase in invested assets over the past year. For more
information on this non-GAAP financial measure, see Property and Casualty Insurance -
Investment Results. |
|
|
|
|
Net realized investment losses were $121 million in the first nine months of 2008 and
$113 million in the third quarter compared with net realized investment gains of $328
million and $117 million, respectively, in the comparable periods of 2007. The net
realized losses in the first nine months and third quarter of 2008
were primarily attributable to other-than-temporary impairment losses. The net realized gains in the first nine months
and third quarter of 2007 were primarily attributable to gains from investments in
limited partnerships. |
Page 16
A summary of our consolidated net income is as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Periods Ended September 30 |
|
|
|
Third Quarter |
|
|
Nine Months |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property and Casualty Insurance |
|
$ |
484 |
|
|
$ |
973 |
|
|
$ |
2,156 |
|
|
$ |
2,815 |
|
Corporate and Other |
|
|
(53 |
) |
|
|
(43 |
) |
|
|
(159 |
) |
|
|
(108 |
) |
Realized Investment Gains (Losses) |
|
|
(113 |
) |
|
|
117 |
|
|
|
(121 |
) |
|
|
328 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consolidated Income Before Income Tax |
|
|
318 |
|
|
|
1,047 |
|
|
|
1,876 |
|
|
|
3,035 |
|
Federal and Foreign Income Tax |
|
|
54 |
|
|
|
309 |
|
|
|
479 |
|
|
|
878 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consolidated Net Income |
|
$ |
264 |
|
|
$ |
738 |
|
|
$ |
1,397 |
|
|
$ |
2,157 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property and Casualty Insurance
A summary of the results of operations of our property and casualty insurance business is as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Periods Ended September 30 |
|
|
|
Third Quarter |
|
|
Nine Months |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underwriting |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Premiums Written |
|
$ |
2,900 |
|
|
$ |
2,938 |
|
|
$ |
8,883 |
|
|
$ |
8,863 |
|
Decrease in Unearned Premiums |
|
|
64 |
|
|
|
40 |
|
|
|
43 |
|
|
|
64 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premiums Earned |
|
|
2,964 |
|
|
|
2,978 |
|
|
|
8,926 |
|
|
|
8,927 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and Loss Expenses |
|
|
2,006 |
|
|
|
1,541 |
|
|
|
5,339 |
|
|
|
4,693 |
|
Operating Costs and Expenses |
|
|
871 |
|
|
|
874 |
|
|
|
2,669 |
|
|
|
2,649 |
|
Decrease (Increase) in Deferred Policy
Acquisition Costs |
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
(11 |
) |
|
|
(29 |
) |
|
|
(64 |
) |
Dividends to Policyholders |
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
29 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underwriting Income |
|
|
69 |
|
|
|
569 |
|
|
|
918 |
|
|
|
1,636 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investments |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment Income Before Expenses |
|
|
418 |
|
|
|
413 |
|
|
|
1,254 |
|
|
|
1,201 |
|
Investment Expenses |
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
23 |
|
|
|
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment Income |
|
|
411 |
|
|
|
405 |
|
|
|
1,231 |
|
|
|
1,176 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Income (Charges) |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property and Casualty Income Before Tax |
|
$ |
484 |
|
|
$ |
973 |
|
|
$ |
2,156 |
|
|
$ |
2,815 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property and Casualty Investment Income
After Tax |
|
$ |
327 |
|
|
$ |
324 |
|
|
$ |
981 |
|
|
$ |
942 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property and casualty income before tax was much lower in the first nine months and third
quarter of 2008 compared with the same periods in 2007. Underwriting income was substantially
lower in the 2008 periods compared with the same periods in 2007. The decrease in underwriting
income in 2008 was due in large part to higher catastrophe losses, particularly in the third
quarter. Investment income grew in both 2008 periods compared with the same periods in 2007, but growth
slowed considerably in the third quarter.
Page 17
The profitability of the property and casualty insurance business depends on the results of
both our underwriting and investment operations. We view these as two distinct operations since
the underwriting functions are managed separately from the investment function. Accordingly, in
assessing our performance, we evaluate underwriting results separately from investment results.
Underwriting Results
We evaluate the underwriting results of our property and casualty insurance business in the
aggregate and also for each of our separate business units.
Net Premiums Written
Net premiums written were $8.9 billion in the first nine months of 2008, nearly identical to
the amount in the same period of 2007. Net premiums written in the third quarter of 2008 were $2.9
billion, a decrease of 1% compared with the same period of 2007.
Net premiums written by business unit were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quarter Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sept. 30 |
|
|
% Incr. |
|
|
Sept. 30 |
|
|
% Incr. |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
(Decr.) |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
(Decr.) |
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal insurance |
|
$ |
995 |
|
|
$ |
977 |
|
|
|
2 |
% |
|
$ |
2,887 |
|
|
$ |
2,792 |
|
|
|
3 |
% |
Commercial insurance |
|
|
1,178 |
|
|
|
1,204 |
|
|
|
(2 |
) |
|
|
3,819 |
|
|
|
3,821 |
|
|
|
|
|
Specialty insurance |
|
|
709 |
|
|
|
726 |
|
|
|
(2 |
) |
|
|
2,123 |
|
|
|
2,150 |
|
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total insurance |
|
|
2,882 |
|
|
|
2,907 |
|
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
8,829 |
|
|
|
8,763 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
Reinsurance assumed |
|
|
18 |
|
|
|
31 |
|
|
|
(42 |
) |
|
|
54 |
|
|
|
100 |
|
|
|
(46 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
$ |
2,900 |
|
|
$ |
2,938 |
|
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
$ |
8,883 |
|
|
$ |
8,863 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums written from our insurance business increased 1% in the first nine months of 2008
and decreased by 1% in the third quarter compared with the corresponding periods in 2007. Premiums
in the United States, which represented 75% of our insurance premiums in the first nine months of
2008, decreased by 2% in the first nine months and 3% in the third quarter. Premiums outside the
U.S. increased by 11% in the first nine months and 8% in the third quarter. The growth outside the
U.S. was largely attributable to the impact of currency fluctuation due to the weakness of the U.S.
dollar in the 2008 periods compared with the 2007 periods; in local currencies, growth outside the
U.S. was 4% in both periods.
In a highly competitive market environment, we continued our emphasis on underwriting
discipline. Rates continued to be under competitive pressure that varied by class of business and
geographic area. The decline in rates in the third quarter of 2008 was somewhat less than we had
experienced in recent quarters. We continued to retain a high percentage of our existing customers
and to renew these accounts at acceptable prices relative to the exposure. However, there were
fewer opportunities to write new business at acceptable rates in the first nine months of 2008
compared with the same period in 2007.
Page 18
Over the past few months, the property and casualty insurance market has experienced
significant disruption as a result of broader issues in the financial markets and the economies of
the United States and other countries. The market disruption may result in an increase in
opportunities for us to write new business, but competition for that new business may also be
significant. Nonetheless, we currently expect the market environment to remain competitive for the
balance of 2008.
Net premiums written in the reinsurance assumed business, which is in runoff, were not
significant in the first nine months or third quarter of 2008 or 2007.
Reinsurance Ceded
Our premiums written are net of amounts ceded to reinsurers who assume a portion of the risk
under the insurance policies we write that are subject to the reinsurance.
Reinsurance rates for property risks have declined somewhat in 2008. However, capacity
restrictions continued in some segments of the marketplace.
We renewed our major property reinsurance treaties, which represent the most significant
component of our reinsurance program, in April 2008.
On our commercial property per risk treaty, we increased the reinsurance coverage in the top
layer of the treaty. This treaty now provides approximately $560 million of coverage per risk in
excess of our $25 million retention.
The structure of our property catastrophe program for events in the United States was
modified, but the overall coverage is similar to the previous program. We purchased $200 million
of fully collateralized three-year reinsurance coverage in place of traditional reinsurance. This
reinsurance was purchased from East Lane Re II Ltd., which financed the provision of reinsurance
through the issuance of $200 million in catastrophe bonds to investors under
three separate bond tranches. The current traditional catastrophe reinsurance treaty, in
combination with the collateralized coverage, provides coverage of approximately 70% of losses (net
of recoveries from other available reinsurance) between $350 million and $1.3 billion, with
additional coverage of 60% of losses between $1.3 billion and $2.05 billion in the northeastern
part of the United States, where we have our greatest concentration of catastrophe exposure.
We have additional fully collateralized four-year reinsurance coverage, purchased in 2007, for
homeowners-related losses sustained from qualifying hurricane loss events in the northeastern part of the United States. This
reinsurance was purchased from East Lane Re Ltd., which financed the provision of reinsurance
through the issuance of $250 million in catastrophe bonds to
investors under two separate bond tranches. This reinsurance provides coverage in 2008 of
approximately 30% of covered losses between $1.35 billion and $2.2 billion.
We have additional reinsurance from the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund, which is a
state-mandated fund designed to reimburse insurers for a portion of their residential catastrophic
hurricane losses. Our participation in this program limits our initial retention in Florida for
homeowners related losses to approximately $185 million.
Page 19
On our property catastrophe treaty for events outside the United States, we increased the
reinsurance coverage in the top layer of the treaty by $50 million and modestly increased our
participation in the program. The treaty now provides coverage of approximately 85% of losses (net
of recoveries from other available reinsurance) between $75 million and $325 million.
Our property reinsurance treaties generally contain terrorism exclusions for acts perpetrated
by foreign terrorists, and for nuclear, biological, chemical and radiological loss causes whether
such acts are perpetrated by foreign or domestic terrorists.
The overall cost of our property reinsurance program in the first nine months of 2008 was
modestly lower than that in the comparable period in 2007. We do not expect the changes we made to
our reinsurance program during 2008 to have a material effect on the Corporations results of
operations, financial condition or liquidity.
Profitability
The combined loss and expense ratio, expressed as a percentage, is the key measure of
underwriting profitability traditionally used in the property and casualty insurance business.
Management evaluates the performance of our underwriting operations and of each of our business
units using, among other measures, the combined loss and expense ratio calculated in accordance
with statutory accounting principles. It is the sum of the ratio of losses and loss expenses to
premiums earned (loss ratio) plus the ratio of statutory underwriting expenses to premiums written
(expense ratio) after reducing both premium amounts by dividends to policyholders. When the
combined ratio is under 100%, underwriting results are generally considered profitable; when the
combined ratio is over 100%, underwriting results are generally considered unprofitable.
Statutory accounting principles applicable to property and casualty insurance companies differ
in certain respects from generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Under statutory
accounting principles, policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses are recognized immediately, not at
the time premiums are earned. Management uses underwriting results determined
in accordance with GAAP, among other measures, to assess the overall performance
of our underwriting operations. To convert statutory underwriting results to a
GAAP basis, policy acquisition expenses are deferred and amortized over the
period in which the related premiums are earned. Underwriting income determined in accordance with
GAAP is defined as premiums earned less losses and loss expenses incurred and GAAP underwriting
expenses incurred.
Underwriting results were highly profitable in the first nine months of 2008 and 2007.
Underwriting results in the third quarter of 2008 were modestly profitable compared to highly
profitable results in the same period in 2007. The combined loss and expense ratio for our overall
property and casualty business was as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Periods Ended September 30 |
|
|
Third Quarter |
|
Nine Months |
|
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio |
|
|
67.9 |
% |
|
|
51.8 |
% |
|
|
60.0 |
% |
|
|
52.7 |
% |
Expense ratio |
|
|
30.2 |
|
|
|
29.8 |
|
|
|
30.2 |
|
|
|
29.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio |
|
|
98.1 |
% |
|
|
81.6 |
% |
|
|
90.2 |
% |
|
|
82.6 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 20
The loss ratio was significantly higher in both the first nine months and third quarter of
2008 compared with the respective periods in 2007. The increase, particularly in the third
quarter, was due in large part to higher catastrophe losses.
Excluding the impact of catastrophes, the loss ratio in both years remained relatively low,
reflecting our disciplined underwriting in recent years as well as
favorable reserve development. However, the loss ratio in the 2008 periods was adversely affected by
declining earned premium rates and several large non-catastrophe losses.
Catastrophe losses were $616 million in the first nine months of 2008, which represented 6.9
percentage points of the loss ratio, compared with $249 million or 2.8 percentage points in the
same period of 2007. Catastrophe
losses were $402 million in the third quarter of 2008, which represented 13.6
percentage points of the loss ratio, compared with $58 million or 2.0 percentage points in the same
period in 2007. Of the catastrophe losses in the third
quarter of 2008, about $340 million related to Hurricane Ike, including our estimated share of an
assessment from the Texas Windstorm Insurance Association, a windstorm insurance entity created by
the State of Texas. The estimated loss from Hurricane Ike does not reflect any reinsurance
recoveries from our catastrophe reinsurance treaties since the aggregate gross loss was within our
initial retention of $350 million.
The expense ratio was slightly higher in the first nine months and third quarter of 2008
compared to the same periods of 2007, due to an increase in commissions, which more than offset
lower operating costs related to the run-off of our reinsurance business. The increase in
commissions was due to premium growth outside the United States in countries where commission rates
are higher than in the United States as well as modestly higher commission rates in the United
States in certain classes of business.
In lieu of paying contingent commissions, beginning in 2007, we implemented a new guaranteed
supplemental compensation program for agents and
brokers in the United States with whom we previously had contingent commission agreements. Under
this arrangement, agents and brokers are paid a percentage of written premiums on eligible lines of
business in a calendar year based upon
their prior performance. The change in our commission arrangements created a
difference in the timing of expense recognition, which resulted in a one-time
benefit to income during the 2007 transition year. The impact of the change in the first nine
months and third quarter of 2007 was to increase deferred policy acquisition costs by approximately
$60 million and $20 million, respectively. The change had no effect on the expense ratio.
Page 21
Review of Underwriting Results by Business Unit
Personal Insurance
Net premiums written from personal insurance, which represented 33% of our premiums written in
the first nine months of 2008, increased by 3% in the first nine months of 2008 and 2% in the third
quarter compared with the same periods in 2007. Net premiums written for the classes of business
within the personal insurance segment were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quarter Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sept. 30 |
|
|
% Incr. |
|
|
Sept. 30 |
|
|
% Incr. |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
(Decr.) |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
(Decr.) |
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Automobile |
|
$ |
154 |
|
|
$ |
161 |
|
|
|
(4 |
)% |
|
$ |
457 |
|
|
$ |
472 |
|
|
|
(3 |
)% |
Homeowners |
|
|
646 |
|
|
|
657 |
|
|
|
(2 |
) |
|
|
1,859 |
|
|
|
1,831 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
Other |
|
|
195 |
|
|
|
159 |
|
|
|
23 |
|
|
|
571 |
|
|
|
489 |
|
|
|
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total personal |
|
$ |
995 |
|
|
$ |
977 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
$ |
2,887 |
|
|
$ |
2,792 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal automobile premiums decreased in the 2008 periods due to a highly competitive U.S.
marketplace. Premium growth in our homeowners business was constrained in 2008 due to an
increasingly competitive market. The growth in the first nine months of 2008 was due to increased
insurance-to-value. The in-force policy count for this class decreased slightly during the first
nine months of 2008. Our other personal business includes insurance for excess liability, yacht
and accident coverages. The substantial growth in this business was due to a significant increase
in accident premiums.
Our personal insurance business produced highly profitable underwriting results in the first
nine months of both 2008 and 2007, but more so in 2007. Results in the third quarter of 2008 were
near breakeven compared with highly profitable results in the same period of 2007. The combined
loss and expense ratios for the classes of business within the personal insurance segment were as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Periods Ended September 30 |
|
|
|
Third Quarter |
|
|
Nine Months |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Automobile |
|
|
85.7 |
% |
|
|
91.1 |
% |
|
|
88.5 |
% |
|
|
89.6 |
% |
Homeowners |
|
|
102.9 |
|
|
|
76.8 |
|
|
|
85.8 |
|
|
|
77.2 |
|
Other |
|
|
105.8 |
|
|
|
99.0 |
|
|
|
100.5 |
|
|
|
95.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total personal |
|
|
100.7 |
% |
|
|
83.3 |
% |
|
|
89.1 |
% |
|
|
82.6 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The less profitable results in the 2008 periods were due in large part to the adverse impact
of higher catastrophe losses, particularly in the third quarter, primarily from Hurricane Ike.
Catastrophe losses represented 7.5 percentage points of the combined ratio for the personal
insurance segment for the first nine months of 2008 and 16.3 percentage points for the third
quarter compared with 4.9 and 5.2 percentage points, respectively, in the same periods of 2007.
Our personal automobile business produced highly profitable results in the first nine months
and third quarter of both 2008 and 2007. Our non-U.S. personal automobile business experienced
significant improvement in the 2008 periods.
Page 22
Homeowners results were highly profitable in the first nine months of 2008 and 2007, but more
so in 2007. Results in the third quarter of 2008 were unprofitable compared to highly profitable
results in the same period in 2007. The less profitable results in the 2008 periods were due to
higher catastrophe losses, primarily related to Hurricane Ike in the third quarter, as well as the
higher severity of large non-catastrophe losses. Catastrophe losses represented 11.0 percentage
points of the combined ratio for this class in the first nine months of 2008 and 23.8 percentage
points in the third quarter compared with 7.4 and 8.0 percentage points, respectively, in the
corresponding periods of 2007.
Other personal results were near breakeven in the first nine months of 2008 compared with
profitable results in the same period of 2007. Results in
the third quarter of 2008 were unprofitable compared with near breakeven results in the same period
of 2007. Our accident business was profitable in the first nine months and third quarter of 2008
compared with highly profitable results in both periods in 2007. Our yacht business was highly
unprofitable in the first nine months of 2008, compared to highly profitable results in the
comparable
period in 2007. Yacht results were highly unprofitable in the third quarter of
2008 compared with unprofitable results in the same period of 2007. Yacht results in the 2008
periods were adversely affected by several large non-catastrophe losses as well as $10 million of
losses related to Hurricane Ike. Our excess liability results improved somewhat in 2008 but
remained unprofitable. Results in both years were adversely affected by inadequate pricing and, in
2007, by unfavorable prior year loss development. Excess liability rates have increased modestly
in the past year.
Commercial Insurance
Net premiums written from commercial insurance, which represented 43% of our premiums written
in the first nine months of 2008, were flat in the first nine months of 2008 and decreased by 2% in
the third quarter compared with the same periods a year ago. Net premiums written for the classes
of business within the commercial insurance segment were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quarter Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sept. 30 |
|
|
% Incr. |
|
|
Sept. 30 |
|
|
% Incr. |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
(Decr.) |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
(Decr.) |
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Multiple peril |
|
$ |
308 |
|
|
$ |
313 |
|
|
|
(2 |
)% |
|
$ |
915 |
|
|
$ |
926 |
|
|
|
(1 |
)% |
Casualty |
|
|
385 |
|
|
|
403 |
|
|
|
(4 |
) |
|
|
1,281 |
|
|
|
1,300 |
|
|
|
(1 |
) |
Workers compensation |
|
|
205 |
|
|
|
205 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
666 |
|
|
|
686 |
|
|
|
(3 |
) |
Property and marine |
|
|
280 |
|
|
|
283 |
|
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
957 |
|
|
|
909 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total commercial |
|
$ |
1,178 |
|
|
$ |
1,204 |
|
|
|
(2 |
) |
|
$ |
3,819 |
|
|
$ |
3,821 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 23
Premium growth in the first nine months of 2008 was constrained due to a highly competitive
marketplace, particularly for new business. Growth in the first nine months in the property and
marine classes was due to selective initiatives. Overall, rates in the first nine months of 2008
were down modestly. Certain classes of business, such as workers compensation and large property
risks, experienced more competitive pressure than others. Competitive pressure also varied among
geographic areas. Retention levels of our existing customers remained strong, slightly higher than
those in the first nine months of 2007. However, new business volume in the first nine months of
2008 was down from 2007 levels as it has become more difficult to find new opportunities at
acceptable rates. We have continued to maintain our underwriting discipline in the highly
competitive market, renewing business and writing new business only where we believe we are
securing acceptable rates and appropriate terms and conditions for the exposures. We expect
continued pressure on rates for the balance of 2008.
Our commercial insurance business produced profitable underwriting results in the first nine
months of 2008, but unprofitable results in the third quarter. Results in both periods in 2007 were
highly profitable. The combined loss and expense ratios for the classes of business within the
commercial insurance segment were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Periods Ended September 30 |
|
|
Third Quarter |
|
Nine Months |
|
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Multiple peril |
|
|
103.6 |
% |
|
|
73.4 |
% |
|
|
87.0 |
% |
|
|
81.1 |
% |
Casualty |
|
|
99.8 |
|
|
|
98.4 |
|
|
|
94.6 |
|
|
|
95.1 |
|
Workers compensation |
|
|
81.3 |
|
|
|
79.4 |
|
|
|
80.5 |
|
|
|
76.0 |
|
Property and marine |
|
|
133.3 |
|
|
|
79.5 |
|
|
|
116.0 |
|
|
|
85.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total commercial |
|
|
106.0 |
% |
|
|
84.4 |
% |
|
|
95.6 |
% |
|
|
85.9 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The less profitable results in the 2008 periods were due in large part to higher catastrophe
losses in the property and marine and multiple peril classes, particularly in the third quarter,
primarily from Hurricane Ike. Catastrophe losses represented 10.6 percentage points of the
combined ratio for the commercial insurance segment for the first nine months of 2008 and 19.9
percentage points for the third quarter compared with 3.0 and 0.8 percentage points, respectively,
in the same periods of 2007. Results in both years
benefited from favorable loss experience, disciplined risk selection and appropriate terms and
conditions in recent years.
Multiple peril results were highly profitable in the first nine months of 2008 but were
modestly unprofitable in the third quarter. Results in the comparable 2007 periods were highly
profitable, exceptionally so in the third quarter. The less profitable results in the 2008 periods
were in the property component of this business due to higher catastrophe losses. Catastrophe
losses represented 12.1 percentage points of the combined ratio for this class in the first nine
months of 2008 and 28.2 percentage points in the third quarter compared with 2.5 and zero
percentage points, respectively, for the comparable periods in 2007. Results in the property
component benefited in both years from favorable non-catastrophe loss experience, particularly
outside the United States in 2008. The liability component of this business was highly profitable
in the first nine months of both years, but more so in 2008, due to favorable prior year loss
development.
Page 24
Our casualty business produced similarly profitable results in the first nine months of 2008
and 2007. Results in the third quarter of 2008 were near breakeven compared to modestly profitable
results in the same period of 2007.
The automobile component of this business was highly profitable in both years.
The primary liability component was highly profitable in the first nine months of both years but
was less profitable in the third quarter of both years. The excess liability component produced
profitable results in the first nine months and third quarter of 2008 and 2007. Excess liability
results in both years, but more so in 2008, benefited from favorable prior year loss development.
Casualty results in the first nine months and third quarter of 2008 were adversely affected by
incurred losses of $50 million and $25 million, respectively, related to toxic waste claims.
Casualty results in the first nine months and third quarter of 2007 were adversely affected by
incurred losses of $63 million and $20 million, respectively, related to asbestos and toxic waste
claims. Our analysis of asbestos and toxic waste exposures in the relevant periods of 2008 and
2007 resulted in increases in the estimate of our ultimate liabilities.
Workers compensation results were highly profitable in the first nine months and third
quarter of 2008 and 2007. Results in both years benefited from our disciplined risk selection
during the past several years as well as the positive effect of reforms in California. The
modestly less profitable results in 2008 were primarily due to lower earned premiums, which were
due to rate reductions associated with state reforms and increased competition.
Property and marine results were highly unprofitable in the first nine months and third
quarter of 2008 compared with highly profitable results in the comparable periods of 2007. The
deterioration in the 2008 periods was due primarily to higher catastrophe losses, and, to a lesser
extent, an increase in the frequency and severity of large non-catastrophe losses. Catastrophe
losses represented 29.5 percentage points of the combined ratio for these classes in the first nine
months of 2008 and 49.0 percentage points in the third quarter compared with 9.6 and 1.7
percentage points, respectively, in the corresponding periods of 2007.
Specialty Insurance
Net premiums written from specialty insurance, which represented 24% of our premiums written
in the first nine months of 2008, decreased by 1% in the first nine months of 2008 and 2% in the
third quarter compared with the same periods a year ago. Net premiums written for the classes of
business within the specialty insurance segment were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quarter Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sept. 30 |
|
|
% Incr. |
|
|
Sept. 30 |
|
|
% Incr. |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
(Decr.) |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
(Decr.) |
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Professional liability |
|
$ |
617 |
|
|
$ |
647 |
|
|
|
(5 |
)% |
|
$ |
1,847 |
|
|
$ |
1,893 |
|
|
|
(2 |
)% |
Surety |
|
|
92 |
|
|
|
79 |
|
|
|
16 |
|
|
|
276 |
|
|
|
257 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total specialty |
|
$ |
709 |
|
|
$ |
726 |
|
|
|
(2 |
) |
|
$ |
2,123 |
|
|
$ |
2,150 |
|
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 25
Our
ability to grow premiums in the professional liability classes was constrained due to the continuing
competitive pressure on rates, particularly in the directors
and officers liability component, and our commitment to maintain underwriting
discipline in this environment. While professional liability rates generally decreased in the
first nine months of 2008, rates increased with respect to directors and officers liability
insurance for public financial institutions, particularly for those companies that have been
directly implicated in the current crisis in the financial markets. Retention levels in the professional liability
classes remained strong in the first nine months of 2008, comparable to those in the same period in
2007. New business volume in 2008 was somewhat lower than in 2007. We continued to get what we
believe are acceptable rates and appropriate terms and conditions on both new business and
renewals. While we expect the overall market to remain competitive for the remainder of 2008, we
anticipate that the pace of rate decreases, specifically with regard to directors and officers
liability insurance, will slow.
Although
premiums grew significantly in our surety business in the third quarter of 2008 compared
with the same period in 2007, the timing of premium writings in the surety business is linked to
the project timing of our insureds and is not consistent among quarters.
Our specialty insurance business produced highly profitable underwriting results in the first
nine months and third quarter of 2008 and 2007, but more so in 2007. The combined loss and expense
ratios for the classes of business within the specialty insurance segment were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Periods Ended September 30 |
|
|
Third Quarter |
|
Nine Months |
|
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Professional liability |
|
|
84.3 |
% |
|
|
81.8 |
% |
|
|
84.0 |
% |
|
|
83.7 |
% |
Surety |
|
|
65.0 |
|
|
|
30.8 |
|
|
|
76.1 |
|
|
|
31.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total specialty |
|
|
82.3 |
% |
|
|
76.3 |
% |
|
|
83.2 |
% |
|
|
78.3 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Our professional liability business produced highly profitable results in the first nine
months and third quarter of 2008 and 2007. Results in the fiduciary liability and employment
practices liability classes were highly profitable in both years. The directors and officers
liability class was also profitable in the first nine months of both years, but more so in 2007.
Profitability in this class was particularly strong outside the United States in 2008. Results in
the errors and omissions liability class were modestly unprofitable in the first nine months of
2008 compared with modestly profitable results in the same period of 2007. Collectively, these
professional liability classes benefited from a significant amount of favorable prior year loss
development in the relevant periods of 2008 and 2007, due to the recognition of the positive loss
trends we have been experiencing related to accident years 2005 and prior. These trends were
largely the result of a favorable business climate, lower policy limits and better terms and
conditions. The fidelity class was highly profitable in the 2008 and 2007 periods due to favorable
loss experience. The expected loss ratio for the current accident year in our professional
liability business is slightly above breakeven, and higher than last year, due in part to the
uncertainty surrounding the ongoing crisis in the financial
markets.
Surety results were highly profitable in the first nine months and third quarter of 2008.
Results were exceptionally profitable in the comparable periods of 2007. Results in 2008 were
adversely impacted by one large loss. Our surety business tends to be characterized by infrequent
but potentially high severity losses.
Page 26
Reinsurance Assumed
Net premiums written from our reinsurance assumed business, which is in runoff, were not
significant in the first nine months and third quarter of 2008 or 2007.
Reinsurance assumed results were profitable in the first nine months and third quarter of 2008
and 2007. Results in both years, but more so in 2007, benefited from significant favorable prior
year loss development.
Loss Reserves
Unpaid losses and loss expenses, also referred to as loss reserves, are the largest liability
of our business.
Our loss reserves include case estimates for claims that have been reported and estimates for
claims that have been incurred but not reported at the balance sheet date as well as estimates of
the expenses associated with processing and settling all reported and unreported claims, less
estimates of anticipated salvage and subrogation recoveries. Estimates are based upon past loss
experience modified for current trends as well as prevailing economic, legal and social conditions.
Our loss reserves are not discounted to present value.
We regularly review our loss reserves using a variety of actuarial techniques. We update the
reserve estimates as historical loss experience develops, additional claims are reported and/or
settled and new information becomes available. Any changes in estimates are reflected in operating
results in the period in which the estimates are changed.
Page 27
Our gross case and incurred but not reported (IBNR) loss reserves and related reinsurance
recoverable by class of business were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net |
|
|
|
Gross Loss Reserves |
|
|
Reinsurance |
|
|
Loss |
|
September 30, 2008 |
|
Case |
|
|
IBNR |
|
|
Total |
|
|
Recoverable |
|
|
Reserves |
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Automobile |
|
$ |
222 |
|
|
$ |
201 |
|
|
$ |
423 |
|
|
$ |
14 |
|
|
$ |
409 |
|
Homeowners |
|
|
455 |
|
|
|
404 |
|
|
|
859 |
|
|
|
30 |
|
|
|
829 |
|
Other |
|
|
415 |
|
|
|
621 |
|
|
|
1,036 |
|
|
|
206 |
|
|
|
830 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total personal |
|
|
1,092 |
|
|
|
1,226 |
|
|
|
2,318 |
|
|
|
250 |
|
|
|
2,068 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Commercial insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Multiple peril |
|
|
603 |
|
|
|
1,105 |
|
|
|
1,708 |
|
|
|
40 |
|
|
|
1,668 |
|
Casualty |
|
|
1,575 |
|
|
|
4,619 |
|
|
|
6,194 |
|
|
|
419 |
|
|
|
5,775 |
|
Workers compensation |
|
|
845 |
|
|
|
1,367 |
|
|
|
2,212 |
|
|
|
234 |
|
|
|
1,978 |
|
Property and marine |
|
|
916 |
|
|
|
545 |
|
|
|
1,461 |
|
|
|
536 |
|
|
|
925 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total commercial |
|
|
3,939 |
|
|
|
7,636 |
|
|
|
11,575 |
|
|
|
1,229 |
|
|
|
10,346 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Specialty insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Professional liability |
|
|
1,779 |
|
|
|
6,140 |
|
|
|
7,919 |
|
|
|
498 |
|
|
|
7,421 |
|
Surety |
|
|
102 |
|
|
|
51 |
|
|
|
153 |
|
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
143 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total specialty |
|
|
1,881 |
|
|
|
6,191 |
|
|
|
8,072 |
|
|
|
508 |
|
|
|
7,564 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total insurance |
|
|
6,912 |
|
|
|
15,053 |
|
|
|
21,965 |
|
|
|
1,987 |
|
|
|
19,978 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance assumed |
|
|
374 |
|
|
|
943 |
|
|
|
1,317 |
|
|
|
333 |
|
|
|
984 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
$ |
7,286 |
|
|
$ |
15,996 |
|
|
$ |
23,282 |
|
|
$ |
2,320 |
|
|
$ |
20,962 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net |
|
|
|
Gross Loss Reserves |
|
|
Reinsurance |
|
|
Loss |
|
December 31, 2007 |
|
Case |
|
|
IBNR |
|
|
Total |
|
|
Recoverable |
|
|
Reserves |
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Automobile |
|
$ |
226 |
|
|
$ |
200 |
|
|
$ |
426 |
|
|
$ |
15 |
|
|
$ |
411 |
|
Homeowners |
|
|
432 |
|
|
|
305 |
|
|
|
737 |
|
|
|
32 |
|
|
|
705 |
|
Other |
|
|
452 |
|
|
|
526 |
|
|
|
978 |
|
|
|
230 |
|
|
|
748 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total personal |
|
|
1,110 |
|
|
|
1,031 |
|
|
|
2,141 |
|
|
|
277 |
|
|
|
1,864 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Commercial insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Multiple peril |
|
|
646 |
|
|
|
1,010 |
|
|
|
1,656 |
|
|
|
37 |
|
|
|
1,619 |
|
Casualty |
|
|
1,640 |
|
|
|
4,302 |
|
|
|
5,942 |
|
|
|
402 |
|
|
|
5,540 |
|
Workers compensation |
|
|
842 |
|
|
|
1,323 |
|
|
|
2,165 |
|
|
|
255 |
|
|
|
1,910 |
|
Property and marine |
|
|
814 |
|
|
|
395 |
|
|
|
1,209 |
|
|
|
532 |
|
|
|
677 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total commercial |
|
|
3,942 |
|
|
|
7,030 |
|
|
|
10,972 |
|
|
|
1,226 |
|
|
|
9,746 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Specialty insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Professional liability |
|
|
2,079 |
|
|
|
5,999 |
|
|
|
8,078 |
|
|
|
552 |
|
|
|
7,526 |
|
Surety |
|
|
33 |
|
|
|
52 |
|
|
|
85 |
|
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
71 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total specialty |
|
|
2,112 |
|
|
|
6,051 |
|
|
|
8,163 |
|
|
|
566 |
|
|
|
7,597 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total insurance |
|
|
7,164 |
|
|
|
14,112 |
|
|
|
21,276 |
|
|
|
2,069 |
|
|
|
19,207 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance assumed |
|
|
400 |
|
|
|
947 |
|
|
|
1,347 |
|
|
|
238 |
|
|
|
1,109 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
$ |
7,564 |
|
|
$ |
15,059 |
|
|
$ |
22,623 |
|
|
$ |
2,307 |
|
|
$ |
20,316 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 28
Loss reserves, net of reinsurance recoverable, increased by $646 million during the first nine
months of 2008. Loss reserves related to our insurance business increased by $771 million. The
increase includes approximately $345 million related to
catastrophe losses. The change in loss reserves also includes a decrease
of approximately $150 million related to currency fluctuation due to the strength of the U.S.
dollar at September 30, 2008 compared with December 31, 2007. Loss reserves related to our
reinsurance assumed business, which is in runoff, decreased by $125 million.
The significant increase in gross loss reserves related to our homeowners business during the
first nine months of 2008 was due in large part to losses related to Hurricane Ike that remained
unpaid at September 30. The significant increase in gross loss reserves for the commercial
property and marine business was due to losses related to Hurricane Ike as well as several large
non-catastrophe losses incurred during the period that remained unpaid at September 30. Gross loss
reserves for our professional liability classes decreased in the first nine months of 2008 due to
generally low reported loss activity as well as settlements related to previously established case
reserves. The significant increase in gross surety loss reserves related to a large loss that
remained unpaid at September 30.
In establishing the loss reserves of our property and casualty subsidiaries, we consider facts
currently known and the present state of the law and coverage litigation. Based on all information
currently available, we believe that the aggregate loss reserves at September 30, 2008 were
adequate to cover claims for losses that had occurred as of that date, including both those
known to us and those yet to be reported. However, as discussed in Item 7 of our Annual Report on
Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, there are significant uncertainties inherent in the
loss reserving process. It is
therefore possible that managements estimate of the ultimate liability for losses that had
occurred as of September 30, 2008 may change, which could have a material effect on the
Corporations results of operations and financial condition.
Because loss reserve estimates are subject to the outcome of future events, changes in
estimates are unavoidable given that actual results can differ from expectations and time is
required for changes in trends to be recognized and confirmed. Reserve changes that increase
previous estimates of
ultimate cost are referred to as unfavorable or adverse development or reserve
strengthening. Reserve changes that decrease previous estimates of ultimate cost are referred to
as favorable development or reserve releases.
We estimate that we experienced overall favorable prior year development of about $660 million
during the first nine months of 2008 and $210 million in the third quarter compared with favorable
prior year development of about $480 million and $150 million, respectively, in the comparable
periods of 2007.
The favorable development in the first nine months of 2008 was primarily in certain
professional liability and commercial liability classes, due to favorable loss trends related
mainly to accident years 2005 and prior, and in the short tail homeowners and commercial property
classes, largely related to the lower than expected emergence of losses in the 2007 accident year.
The favorable development in the first nine months of 2007 was primarily in the professional
liability classes and the homeowners and commercial property classes, as well as in the run-off of
the reinsurance assumed business.
Page 29
Investment Results
Property and casualty investment income before taxes increased by 5% in the first nine months
of 2008 and 1% in the third quarter compared with the same periods in 2007. Growth for the first
nine months of 2008 was due to an increase in average invested assets compared with the same period
in 2007. The slowdown in the growth of property and casualty investment income in the third
quarter of 2008 was due to a slight decrease in the average yield compared with the same period in
2007.
The effective tax rate on investment income was 20.3% in the first nine months of 2008
compared with 19.9% in the same period of 2007. The effective tax rate fluctuates as a result of
our holding a different proportion of our investment portfolio in tax exempt securities during
different periods.
On an after-tax basis, property and casualty investment income increased by 4% in the first
nine months of 2008 and 1% in the third quarter compared with the same periods in 2007. The
after-tax annualized yield on the investment portfolio that supports the property and casualty
insurance business was 3.49% and 3.47% in the first nine months of 2008 and 2007, respectively.
Management uses property and casualty investment income after tax, a non-GAAP financial measure, to
evaluate its investment performance because it reflects the impact
of any change in the proportion of the investment portfolio invested in tax exempt securities and
is therefore more meaningful for analysis purposes than investment income before income tax.
Corporate and Other
Corporate and other includes investment income earned on corporate invested assets, interest
expense and other expenses not allocated to our operating subsidiaries and the results of our
non-insurance subsidiaries.
Corporate and other produced a loss before taxes of $159 million in the first nine months of
2008 compared with a loss of $108 million in the same period of 2007. The higher loss in the first
nine months of 2008 was primarily due to lower investment income and higher interest expense
compared with the same period in 2007. Investment income was lower due to lower average corporate
invested assets during the first nine months of 2008, due primarily to the repurchase of Chubbs
common stock. The higher interest expense was the result of higher average debt outstanding during
the 2008 period.
Page 30
Realized Investment Gains and Losses
Net investment gains and losses realized were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Periods Ended September 30 |
|
|
|
Third Quarter |
|
|
Nine Months |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net realized gains (losses) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity securities |
|
$ |
(52 |
) |
|
$ |
39 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
83 |
|
Fixed maturities |
|
|
30 |
|
|
|
(13 |
) |
|
|
27 |
|
|
|
(32 |
) |
Other invested assets |
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
98 |
|
|
|
69 |
|
|
|
288 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(17 |
) |
|
|
124 |
|
|
|
96 |
|
|
|
339 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other-than-temporary
impairment losses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity securities |
|
|
(53 |
) |
|
|
(7 |
) |
|
|
(143 |
) |
|
|
(11 |
) |
Fixed maturities |
|
|
(43 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(74 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(96 |
) |
|
|
(7 |
) |
|
|
(217 |
) |
|
|
(11 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Realized investment gains
(losses) before tax |
|
$ |
(113 |
) |
|
$ |
117 |
|
|
$ |
(121 |
) |
|
$ |
328 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Realized investment gains
(losses) after tax |
|
$ |
(74 |
) |
|
$ |
76 |
|
|
$ |
(79 |
) |
|
$ |
213 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The net
realized gains and losses on other invested assets represent the aggregate of
distributions to us from the limited partnerships in which we have an interest and changes in our
equity in the net assets of the partnerships based on valuations provided to us by the manager of
each partnership. Due to the timing of our receipt of valuation data from the investment managers,
these investments are reported on a one quarter lag. As a result, we have not yet received third
quarter 2008 valuations from many of the limited partnerships. Based on limited preliminary information about the
performance of the limited partnerships during the third quarter, we expect to report a decline in our equity
in the net assets of these partnerships in our fourth quarter results. We cannot precisely quantify the amount
of the loss that we will report; however, we currently expect that the loss before tax will be about $100 million,
but it is possible the loss could exceed that amount.
We regularly review those invested assets whose fair value is less than cost to determine if
an other-than-temporary decline in value has occurred. In evaluating whether a decline in value of
any investment is temporary or other-than-temporary, we consider various quantitative criteria and
qualitative factors including the length of time and the extent to which the fair value has been
less than the cost, the financial condition and near term prospects of the
issuer, whether the issuer is current on contractually obligated interest and principal payments,
our intent and ability to hold the investment for a period
of time sufficient to allow us to recover our cost, general market conditions
and industry or sector specific factors. If a decline in the fair value of an
individual security is deemed to be other-than-temporary, the difference between
cost and estimated fair value is charged to income as a realized investment loss. The fair value
of the investment becomes its new cost basis. The
decision to recognize a decline in the value of a security carried at fair value as
other-than-temporary rather than temporary has no impact on shareholders equity.
Page 31
During the first nine months of 2008, our investments in certain equity and fixed maturity
securities were deemed to be other-than-temporarily impaired. We determined that the equity
investments, about half of which are in the financial services sector, were not likely to recover
to our cost basis over a near term period. We also determined that we could not assert an intent
to hold the fixed maturities issued by certain companies in the financial services sector for a
period of time sufficient to allow us to recover our cost.
Capital Resources and Liquidity
Capital resources and liquidity represent a companys overall financial strength and its
ability to generate cash flows, borrow funds at competitive rates and raise new capital to meet
operating and growth needs.
Capital Resources
Capital resources provide protection for policyholders, furnish the financial strength to
support the business of underwriting insurance risks and
facilitate continued business growth. At September 30, 2008, the Corporation had shareholders
equity of $13.6 billion and total debt of $4.0 billion.
In April 2008, Chubb repaid $225 million of outstanding 3.95% notes when due. In August 2008,
Chubb repaid $460 million of outstanding 5.472% notes when due.
In May 2008, Chubb issued $600 million of unsecured 5.75% senior notes due in 2018 and $600
million of unsecured 6.5% senior notes due in 2038.
Management regularly monitors the Corporations capital resources. In connection with our
long-term capital strategy, Chubb from time to time contributes capital to its property and
casualty subsidiaries. In addition, in
order to satisfy capital needs as a result of any rating agency capital adequacy
or other future rating issues, or in the event we were to need additional capital to make strategic
investments in light of market opportunities, we may take a variety of actions, which could include
the issuance of additional debt and/or equity securities.
In December 2007, the Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to 28,000,000 shares
of Chubbs common stock. The authorization has no
expiration date. During the first nine months of 2008, we repurchased 22,711,788 shares of Chubbs
common stock in open market transactions at a cost of $1.1 billion. As of September 30, 2008,
3,400,882 shares remained under the share repurchase authorization. We expect to repurchase all of
the shares remaining under the authorization by the end of 2008, subject to market conditions.
Ratings
Chubb and its insurance subsidiaries are rated by major rating agencies. These ratings
reflect the rating agencys opinion of our financial strength, operating performance, strategic
position and ability to meet our obligations to policyholders.
Ratings are an important factor in establishing our competitive position in the insurance
markets. There can be no assurance that our ratings will
continue for any given period of time or that they will not be changed.
Page 32
It is possible that one or more of the rating agencies may raise or lower our existing ratings
in the future. If our credit ratings were downgraded, we might incur higher borrowing costs and
might have more limited means to access
capital. A downgrade in our financial strength ratings could adversely affect the competitive
position of our insurance operations, including a possible reduction in demand for our products in
certain markets.
Liquidity
Liquidity is a measure of a companys ability to generate sufficient cash flows to meet the
short and long term cash requirements of its business operations.
The Corporations liquidity requirements in the past generally have been met by funds from
operations. We expect that our liquidity requirements in the future will be met by funds from
operations or borrowings from our credit facility or the issuance of debt and equity securities.
Our property and casualty operations provide liquidity in that premiums are generally received
months or even years before losses are paid under the
policies purchased by such premiums. Historically, cash receipts from operations, consisting of
insurance premiums and investment income, have provided more than sufficient funds to pay losses,
operating expenses and
dividends to Chubb. After satisfying our cash requirements, excess cash flows
are used to build the investment portfolio and thereby increase future investment income.
Our strong underwriting results continued to generate substantial new cash. New cash from
operations available for investment by our property and
casualty subsidiaries was approximately $800 million in the first nine months of
2008 compared with $1.8 billion in the same period in 2007. New cash available was lower in the
first nine months of 2008 compared with the same period in 2007 due primarily to a $750 million
increase in dividends paid by the property and casualty subsidiaries to Chubb and, to a lesser
extent, modestly lower premium receipts and higher loss payments.
Our property and casualty subsidiaries maintain substantial investments in highly liquid,
short-term marketable securities. Accordingly, we do not anticipate selling long-term fixed
maturity investments to meet any liquidity needs.
Chubbs liquidity requirements primarily include the payment of dividends to shareholders and
interest and principal on debt obligations. The declaration
and payment of future dividends to Chubbs shareholders will be at the
discretion of Chubbs Board of Directors and will depend upon many factors, including our operating
results, financial condition, capital requirements and any regulatory constraints.
Chubb has a revolving credit agreement with a group of banks that provides for up to $500 million
of unsecured borrowings. This agreement has a termination date of October 19, 2012. In August 2008, the agreement was amended to allow Chubb to request
on two occasions at any time during the remaining term of the agreement an extension of the maturity date for an additional one year period. Prior to this amendment,
Chubb was permitted to request an extension in 2008 and again in 2009. There have been no borrowings under this agreement.
Page 33
As a holding company, Chubbs ability to continue to pay dividends to shareholders and to
satisfy its debt obligations relies on the availability of liquid assets, which is dependent in
large part on the dividend paying ability of its property and casualty subsidiaries. Our property
and casualty subsidiaries are subject to laws and regulations in the jurisdictions in which they
operate that restrict the amount of dividends they may pay without the prior approval of regulatory
authorities. The restrictions are generally based on net income and on certain levels of
policyholders surplus as determined in accordance with statutory accounting practices. Dividends
in excess of such thresholds are considered extraordinary and require prior regulatory approval.
The maximum dividend distribution that may be made by the property and casualty subsidiaries to
Chubb during 2008 without prior approval is approximately $2.4
billion. During the first nine months of 2008, these subsidiaries paid dividends to Chubb totaling
$1.4 billion compared with $650 million during the same period of 2007.
Invested Assets
The main objectives in managing our investment portfolios are to maximize after-tax investment
income and total investment returns while minimizing credit
risks in order to ensure that funds will be available to meet our insurance obligations.
Investment strategies are developed based on many factors including underwriting results and our
resulting tax position, regulatory requirements, fluctuations in interest rates and consideration
of other market risks. Investment decisions are centrally managed by investment professionals
based on guidelines established by management and approved by the boards of directors of Chubb and
the applicable operating companies.
Our investment portfolio is primarily comprised of high quality bonds, principally tax exempt
securities, mortgage-backed securities, corporate issues and U.S. Treasuries, as well as foreign
government and corporate bonds that support our operations outside the United States. The
portfolio also includes equity securities, primarily publicly traded common stocks, and other
invested assets, primarily private equity limited partnerships, all of which are held with the
primary objective of capital appreciation.
Our objective is to achieve the appropriate mix of taxable and tax exempt securities in our
portfolio to balance both investment and tax strategies. At September 30, 2008, 68% of our U.S.
fixed maturity portfolio was invested in tax exempt bonds, compared with 67% at the prior year end.
About 85% of our tax
exempt bonds are rated AA or better with about 40% rated AAA. The average rating of our tax exempt
bonds is AA. About 40% of our tax exempt bonds are insured and have an average rating of AA.
Without the benefit of the insurance, the average credit rating of the insured bonds is slightly
lower within the AA category. The insured tax exempt bonds in our portfolio have been selected
based on the quality of the underlying credit and not the value of the credit insurance
enhancement.
At September 30, 2008, we held $4.1 billion of mortgage-backed securities, which comprised
about 25% of our taxable bond portfolio. About 98% of the mortgage-backed securities are rated AAA
and the remaining 2% are all investment grade. Of the AAA rated securities, about 60% are
residential mortgage-backed securities, consisting of pass-through securities guaranteed by a
government agency or government sponsored enterprise (GSE), GSE collateralized mortgage obligations
(CMOs) and other AAA rated CMOs, all backed by single family home mortgages. The majority of the
CMOs are actively traded in liquid markets. The other 40% of the AAA rated securities are call
protected, commercial mortgage-backed securities.
Page 34
At September 30, 2008, only about 1% of our bond portfolio was below investment grade and our
investment portfolio did not have any direct exposure to either sub-prime mortgages or
collateralized debt obligations.
The net unrealized depreciation before tax of investments carried at fair value, which consist
of fixed maturities and equity securities classified as available-for-sale, was $443 million at
September 30, 2008 compared with net unrealized appreciation of $96 million at June 30, 2008 and
$810 million at December 31, 2007. Such unrealized appreciation and depreciation is reflected in comprehensive
income, net of applicable deferred income tax.
Credit
spreads, which refer to the difference between a risk-free yield (the
yield on U.S. Treasury securities) and the actual yields
on all other fixed maturity investments, increased significantly during the first nine months of 2008, due to
the disruptions in the financial markets. This resulted in a decline in the fair value of many
of our fixed maturity investments.
Since September 30, 2008, credit spreads have increased and equity markets have declined.
If these conditions continue during the remainder of the year, we would expect to experience additional unrealized depreciation of our fixed maturity and equity security portfolios.
Item 4 Controls and Procedures
As of September 30, 2008, an evaluation of the effectiveness of the design and operation of
the Corporations disclosure controls and procedures (as such term is defined in Rule 13a-15(e) of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) was performed under the supervision and with the participation
of the Corporations management, including the chief executive officer and chief financial officer.
Based on that evaluation, the chief executive officer and chief financial officer concluded that
the Corporations disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of September 30, 2008.
During the quarter ended September 30, 2008, there were no changes in internal control over
financial reporting that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect,
the Corporations internal control over financial reporting.
Page 35
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1 Legal Proceedings
As previously disclosed, Chubb and certain of its subsidiaries are defendants in an action
filed on August 24, 2007 by the Ohio Attorney General against several insurers and one broker in
the Court of Common Pleas in Cuyahoga County, Ohio. This action alleges that the defendants
unlawfully used contingent commission agreements and conspired to reduce competition in the
insurance markets, in violation of Ohios antitrust laws. The action seeks, among other things,
treble damages and injunctive and declaratory relief. In July 2008, the court denied the
Corporations and the other defendants motions to dismiss the Attorney Generals complaint. In
August 2008, the Corporation and the other defendants filed answers to the complaint and discovery
has begun. The Corporation believes that it has substantial defenses to the allegations included in
this action and intends to defend the action vigorously.
Item 1A Risk Factors
Our business is subject to a number of risks, including those identified in Item 1A of our
2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as
supplemented below, that could have a material effect on our business, results of operations,
financial condition and/or liquidity and that could cause our operating results to vary
significantly from fiscal period to fiscal period. The risks described in our Annual Report on
Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports, as supplemented below, are not the only risks we face. Additional
risks and uncertainties not currently known to us or that we currently deem to be immaterial also
could have a material effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and/or
liquidity.
The continuing volatility in the financial markets and the ongoing economic downturn could
have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition.
The significant financial market volatility experienced worldwide during the third quarter of
2008 has continued in the fourth quarter of 2008 and the impact on the U.S. and foreign economies
appears to be worsening. Although the U.S. and other foreign governments have taken various
actions to try to stabilize the financial markets, it is unclear whether those actions will be
effective. Therefore, the financial market volatility and the resulting negative economic impact
could continue and it is possible that it may be prolonged.
Although we continue to monitor market conditions, we cannot predict future market conditions
or their impact on our investment portfolio. Depending on market conditions, we could incur
additional realized and unrealized losses in future fiscal periods, which could have a material
adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition. In addition, the continuing
financial market volatility and economic downturn could have a material adverse affect on third
parties that we do business with, including insureds, reinsurers and co-sureties. We cannot
predict the impact that this would have on our business or results of operations.
Page 36
Certain of the actions the U.S. government has taken or may take in response to the financial
market turmoil have impacted, or may impact, certain participants in the property and casualty insurance
industry. It is possible that additional governmental measures will be enacted which could further
affect the property and casualty insurance industry and its competitive landscape. We cannot
predict the impact that such government intervention would have on our business.
Item 2 Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds
The following table summarizes Chubbs stock repurchased each month in the quarter ended
September 30, 2008.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Number of |
|
Maximum Number of |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares Purchased |
|
Shares that May |
|
|
Total Number |
|
Average |
|
as Part of |
|
Yet Be Purchased |
|
|
of Shares |
|
Price Paid |
|
Publicly Announced |
|
Under the |
Period |
|
Purchased (a) |
|
Per Share |
|
Plans or Programs |
|
Plans or Programs (b) |
July 2008 |
|
|
3,158,524 |
|
|
$ |
48.27 |
|
|
|
3,158,524 |
|
|
|
6,156,682 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
August 2008 |
|
|
2,425,600 |
|
|
|
47.81 |
|
|
|
2,425,600 |
|
|
|
3,731,082 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 2008 |
|
|
330,200 |
|
|
|
47.76 |
|
|
|
330,200 |
|
|
|
3,400,882 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
|
5,914,324 |
|
|
|
48.05 |
|
|
|
5,914,324 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) |
|
The stated amounts exclude 2,163 shares and 17,703 shares delivered to Chubb during the
months of July 2008 and September 2008, respectively, by employees of the Corporation to cover
option exercise prices and withholding taxes in connection with the Corporations stock-based
compensation plans. |
|
(b) |
|
On December 13, 2007, the Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to 28,000,000
shares of common stock. The authorization has no expiration date. |
Page 37
Item 6 Exhibits
|
|
|
Exhibit |
|
|
Number |
|
Description |
|
|
- Material Contracts |
10.1
|
|
Offer Letter, dated as of September 5, 2008, from
The Chubb Corporation to Richard G. Spiro filed herewith. |
|
|
|
|
|
- Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) Certifications |
31.1
|
|
Certification by John D. Finnegan filed herewith. |
31.2
|
|
Certification by Michael OReilly filed herewith. |
|
|
|
|
|
- Section 1350 Certifications |
32.1
|
|
Certification by John D. Finnegan filed herewith. |
32.2
|
|
Certification by Michael OReilly filed herewith. |
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934,
The Chubb Corporation has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned
thereunto duly authorized.
|
|
|
|
|
|
THE CHUBB CORPORATION
(Registrant)
|
|
|
By: |
/s/ John J. Kennedy |
|
|
|
John J. Kennedy |
|
|
|
Senior Vice-President and
Chief Accounting Officer |
|
|
Date: November 10, 2008