Ahead of the FOMC meeting, I had been pounding the table that market expectations were unrealistically hawkish. The market was discounting strong rate hikes well beyond the Fed's stated median neutral rate of 2.4%, according to the March Summary of Economic Projections.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhW-xq4Q35G5x0TDK9oY6ebfbV02yFrqZO1LQ6xPxPMd6JgWCHXAWudU0rK8-5iM654hYpKo6kfwpPuDqt3lrOoQDvv3hFDyv-OcQaLuFDqfqSCSmUeyKDTEn1WwA9FGBwnQylcCPwS6TXTcLu-ri2wjjo1HsBuKZlGo8FBN07Y8eX4BvUciIfMWDRhIA/w612-h640/Fed%20Funds%20probability.png)
The full post can be found here.
Sale in MayWe would also like to announce our "Sale in May" event. Get 50% off a monthly subscription for the first month. Click here to subscribe.